--- title: "37% Profit case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "37% Profit ($0.22) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.11% from 2 items with odds, observed 90.11% over 232 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/726 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [37% Profit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/726) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 37% Profit A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/726?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/726?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/726) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/726?window=all) Price · $0.22 · 0.35 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.11% · EV $0.19 from 2 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.11% · 232 openings, odds method Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 37.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 63.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 90.84% ±13.73 230 openings 30 days · 90.11% ±13.67 232 openings since tracking started · 90.11% ±13.67 232 openings 76.0% 90.5% 105.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/726?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/726?window=7d) | 230 | 90.84% ±13.7 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/726) | 232 | 90.11% ±13.7 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/726?window=all) | 232 | 90.11% ±13.7 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 232 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Forest Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-forest-night-battle-scarred) | 37.0% | $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN | 95.9% | 89 | 85.8 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) | 63.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 4.1% | 143 | 146.2 | 0.98× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=726) [Souvenir Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-forest-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN 2.26x 2026-11-10 09:26 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 09:26 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) [Szafir skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Szafir%20skins.army) $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 09:26 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Souvenir Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-forest-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN 2.26x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Souvenir Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-forest-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN 2.26x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Souvenir Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-forest-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN 2.26x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Souvenir Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-forest-night-battle-scarred) [Szafir skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Szafir%20skins.army) $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN 2.26x 2026-11-10 08:50 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 08:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.22 | 87.11% | 2 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #B0C3D9 37.0% other 63.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.11 on average: an expected loss of $12.89 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt