--- title: "10% WAGER case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "10% WAGER ($0.30) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.81% from 10 items with odds, observed 79.19% over 1,917 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/728 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% WAGER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/728) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% WAGER A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/728?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/728?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/728) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/728?window=all) Price · $0.30 · 0.48 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.81% · EV $0.27 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.19% · 1,917 openings, odds method Variance · 62.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 243 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 170 openings · below min 7 days · 984 openings · below min 30 days · 79.19% ±35.38 1,917 openings since tracking started · 79.19% ±35.38 1,917 openings -0.5% 106.0% 212.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/728?window=24h) | 170 | 93.26% ±118.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/728?window=7d) | 984 | 81.25% ±49.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/728) | 1,917 | 79.19% ±35.4 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/728?window=all) | 1,917 | 79.19% ±35.4 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,917 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $332 523 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $81.94 129 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $57.37 90.35 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $45.83 72.19 HUNT\_COIN | 17.1% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $31.61 49.78 HUNT\_COIN | 35.4% | 4 | 5.8 | 0.70× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $4.12 6.49 HUNT\_COIN | 15.4% | 23 | 19.2 | 1.20× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $2.10 3.31 HUNT\_COIN | 16.4% | 40 | 40.0 | 1.00× | | [USP-S \| Night Ops (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN | 8.8% | 121 | 124.6 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) | 50.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 923 | 958.5 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) | 40.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 804 | 766.8 | 1.05× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) [Polapi SKINS skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Polapi%20SKINS%20skins.army) $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $45.83 72.19 HUNT\_COIN 150.4x 2026-11-07 10:44 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $45.83 72.19 HUNT\_COIN 150.4x 2026-11-04 19:49 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) [cheese](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/cheese) $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $31.61 49.78 HUNT\_COIN 103.7x 2026-11-10 20:27 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $31.61 49.78 HUNT\_COIN 103.7x 2026-11-04 08:15 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $31.61 49.78 HUNT\_COIN 103.7x 2026-11-03 23:59 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $31.61 49.78 HUNT\_COIN 103.7x 2026-11-03 13:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=728) [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) [TerorizezBabe.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/TerorizezBabe.) $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [USP-S | Night Ops (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-field-tested) Hidden $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 1.19x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) [TerorizezBabe.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/TerorizezBabe.) $0.30 0.48 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.30 | 87.81% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% classified 1.0% red 0.0% Ancient 0.3% Classified 2.1% mil spec 6.5% other 90.0% best hit $45.83 (150.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.81 on average: an expected loss of $12.19 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt