--- title: "giek luck case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "giek luck ($5.87) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.68% from 9 items with odds, observed 192.11% over 697 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/730 rendered: 2026-11-11T12:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [giek luck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/730) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · giek luck A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/730?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/730?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/730) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/730?window=all) Price · $5.87 · 9.25 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.68% · EV $5.21 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 192.11% · 697 openings, odds method Variance · 222.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 108 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 367 openings · below min 30 days · 192.11% ±110.69 697 openings since tracking started · 192.11% ±110.69 697 openings -0.5% 596.7% 1194.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/730?window=24h) | 6 | 0.22% ±1193.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/730?window=7d) | 367 | 65.94% ±152.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/730) | 697 | 192.11% ±110.7 | +1.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/730?window=all) | 697 | 192.11% ±110.7 | +1.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 697 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $5,903 9,297 HUNT\_COIN | 22.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $961 1,514 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $233 366 HUNT\_COIN | 40.2% | 3 | 6.3 | 0.48× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $159 251 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| Counter Logic Gaming (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-counter-logic-gaming-foil) | 1 in 100 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 21.3% | 7 | 7.0 | 1.00× | | [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $21.68 34.14 HUNT\_COIN | 4.2% | 3 | 7.0 | 0.43× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $3.54 5.58 HUNT\_COIN | 4.8% | 50 | 48.8 | 1.02× | | [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.40 2.21 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 55 | 69.7 | 0.79× | | [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) | 80.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 577 | 557.6 | 1.03× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) Hidden $5.87 9.25 HUNT\_COIN $5,903 9,297 HUNT\_COIN 1,005x 2026-11-04 07:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=730) [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $5.87 9.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.87 9.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.87 9.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.87 9.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.87 9.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.87 9.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.87 9.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.87 9.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.87 9.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $5.87 9.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $5.87 | 88.68% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.9% gold 0.0% covert 0.1% other 1.0% classified 1.0% mil spec 7.0% blue 10.0% Common 80.0% best hit $5,903 (1,005x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.68 on average: an expected loss of $11.32 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt