--- title: "5% Green Grass case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Green Grass ($10.43) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.40% from 15 items with odds, observed 74.76% over 489 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/733 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [5% Green Grass](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/733) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 5% Green Grass A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/733?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/733?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/733) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/733?window=all) Price · $10.43 · 16.43 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.40% · EV $9.12 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 74.76% · 489 openings, odds method Variance · 46.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 21 openings · below min 7 days · 211 openings · below min 30 days · 74.76% ±60.38 489 openings since tracking started · 74.76% ±60.38 489 openings -0.5% 237.5% 475.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/733?window=24h) | 21 | 183.37% ±291.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/733?window=7d) | 211 | 94.78% ±91.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/733) | 489 | 74.76% ±60.4 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/733?window=all) | 489 | 74.76% ±60.4 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 489 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200,000 | $15K 23,625 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 100,000 | $9,151 14,413 HUNT\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 50,000 | $6,250 9,844 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 15,385 | $2,747 4,327 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $833 1,312 HUNT\_COIN | 3.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $526 829 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $397 626 HUNT\_COIN | 6.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $305 481 HUNT\_COIN | 8.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $264 416 HUNT\_COIN | 8.7% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $186 292 HUNT\_COIN | 10.2% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.23× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 143 | $161 254 HUNT\_COIN | 12.4% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $146 230 HUNT\_COIN | 16.0% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.23× | | [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 12.2% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $106 167 HUNT\_COIN | 11.7% | 2 | 4.9 | 0.41× | | [Sticker \| Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) | 95.0% | $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN | 2.3% | 468 | 464.5 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $10.43 16.43 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 50.46x 2026-11-06 19:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=733) [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $10.43 16.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $10.43 16.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $10.43 16.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $10.43 16.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $10.43 16.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $10.43 16.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $10.43 16.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 18:56 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $10.43 16.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 18:56 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $10.43 16.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 18:56 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $10.43 16.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 18:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $10.43 | 87.40% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.3% epic 0.0% covert 1.0% #ffd700 0.0% restricted 0.2% mil spec 0.5% industrial 1.0% classified 1.0% Rare 95.0% best hit $526 (50.46x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.40 on average: an expected loss of $12.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt