--- title: "5% Ocean Breeze case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Ocean Breeze ($12.20) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.40% from 14 items with odds, observed 211.44% over 224 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/734 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [5% Ocean Breeze](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/734) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 5% Ocean Breeze A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/734?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/734?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/734) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/734?window=all) Price · $12.20 · 19.21 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.40% · EV $10.66 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 211.44% · 224 openings, odds method Variance · 46.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 176 openings · below min 30 days · 224 openings · below min since tracking started · 224 openings · below min -0.5% 197.0% 394.5% **Small sample.** 224 openings and 2.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/734?window=24h) | 12 | 6.51% ±387.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/734?window=7d) | 176 | 261.05% ±101.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/734) | 224 | 211.44% ±89.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/734?window=all) | 224 | 211.44% ±89.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 224 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $5,903 9,297 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,681 5,797 HUNT\_COIN | 3.5% | 1 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $2,546 4,010 HUNT\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $868 1,367 HUNT\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $750 1,181 HUNT\_COIN | 7.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $546 860 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $472 743 HUNT\_COIN | 11.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $285 448 HUNT\_COIN | 10.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $211 333 HUNT\_COIN | 9.9% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $174 273 HUNT\_COIN | 8.1% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $155 245 HUNT\_COIN | 7.3% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $76.11 120 HUNT\_COIN | 7.1% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× | | [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $60.34 95.04 HUNT\_COIN | 8.5% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.49× | | [Sticker \| Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) | 95.0% | $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN | 7.1% | 210 | 212.8 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.20 19.21 HUNT\_COIN $3,681 5,797 HUNT\_COIN 301.8x 2026-11-08 09:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=734) [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $12.20 19.21 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $12.20 19.21 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $12.20 19.21 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $12.20 19.21 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $12.20 19.21 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $12.20 19.21 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $12.20 19.21 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $12.20 19.21 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $12.20 19.21 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) Hidden $12.20 19.21 HUNT\_COIN $0.79 1.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $12.20 | 87.40% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.5% Covert 0.4% covert knife 0.1% classified 1.1% restricted 1.1% sunny 0.3% rare 1.5% #8847ff 95.0% best hit $3,681 (301.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.40 on average: an expected loss of $12.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt