--- title: "p250 free profit case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "p250 free profit ($2.28) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.69% from 3 items with odds, observed 87.95% over 84 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/737 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [p250 free profit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/737) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · p250 free profit A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/737?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/737?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/737) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/737?window=all) Price · $2.28 · 3.59 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.69% · EV $2.02 from 3 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.95% · 84 openings, odds method Variance · 7.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 60 openings · below min 30 days · 84 openings · below min since tracking started · 84 openings · below min -0.5% 127.0% 254.5% **Small sample.** 84 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/737?window=24h) | 6 | 32.78% ±221.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/737?window=7d) | 60 | 72.20% ±69.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/737) | 84 | 87.95% ±59.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/737?window=all) | 84 | 87.95% ±59.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 84 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $29.17 45.95 HUNT\_COIN | 72.2% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN | 27.4% | 23 | 21.0 | 1.10× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 70.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 57 | 58.8 | 0.97× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=737) [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.28 3.59 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.97x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.28 3.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.28 3.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.28 3.59 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.97x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.28 3.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [Sewi #^](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sewi%20%23%5E) $2.28 3.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.28 3.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.28 3.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC [P250 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.28 3.59 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.97x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.28 3.59 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 21:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.28 | 88.69% | 3 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 30.0% consumer 70.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.69 on average: an expected loss of $11.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt