--- title: "10% Blaze case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "10% Blaze ($73.31) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.99% from 5 items with odds, observed 97.19% over 737 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/75 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% Blaze](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/75) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% Blaze A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/75?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/75?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/75) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/75?window=all) Price · $73.31 · 115 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.99% · EV $63.77 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.19% · 737 openings, odds method Variance · 6.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 93.61% ±19.07 677 openings 30 days · 97.19% ±18.28 737 openings since tracking started · 97.19% ±18.28 737 openings 74.0% 146.5% 219.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/75?window=24h) | 54 | 150.72% ±67.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/75?window=7d) | 677 | 93.61% ±19.1 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/75) | 737 | 97.19% ±18.3 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/75?window=all) | 737 | 97.19% ±18.3 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 737 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN | 48.9% | 37 | 33.2 | 1.12× | | [Nova \| Blaze Orange (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-blaze-orange-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $554 872 HUNT\_COIN | 47.7% | 46 | 40.5 | 1.13× | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $34.71 54.67 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 32 | 36.9 | 0.87× | | [R8 Revolver \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.89 2.98 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 145 | 147.4 | 0.98× | | [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) | 65.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 477 | 479.1 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 9.45x 2026-11-10 16:12 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 9.45x 2026-11-10 16:12 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 9.45x 2026-11-10 16:10 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 9.45x 2026-11-10 16:07 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 9.45x 2026-11-10 16:02 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 9.45x 2026-11-10 15:55 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 9.45x 2026-11-10 15:51 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 9.45x 2026-11-10 10:21 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 9.45x 2026-11-10 10:21 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 9.45x 2026-11-10 10:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=75) [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:15 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:15 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $1.89 2.98 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 16:15 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:15 UTC [R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $1.89 2.98 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 16:14 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:14 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:14 UTC [Nova | Blaze Orange (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-blaze-orange-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $554 872 HUNT\_COIN 7.55x 2026-11-10 16:14 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN 9.45x 2026-11-10 16:12 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $73.31 115 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 16:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $73.31 | 86.99% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 4.5% mil spec 70.5% milspec 5.0% blue 20.0% best hit $693 (9.45x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.99 on average: an expected loss of $13.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt