---
title: "test test case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "test test ($0.04) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.33% from 5 items with odds, observed 82.22% over 571 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/77
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [test test](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/77)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · test test

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/77?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/77?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/77) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/77?window=all)

Price · $0.04 · 0.06 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 83.33% · EV $0.03 from 5 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.22% · 571 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 60.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 37 openings · below min

7 days · 82.78% ±1.63 484 openings

30 days · 82.22% ±1.50 571 openings

since tracking started · 82.22% ±1.50 571 openings

77.0% 83.5% 90.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/77?window=24h) | 37 | 83.33% ±5.88 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/77?window=7d) | 484 | 82.78% ±1.63 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/77) | 571 | 82.22% ±1.50 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/77?window=all) | 571 | 82.22% ±1.50 | −1.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 571 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P90 \| Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN | 28.0% | 97 | 114.2 | 0.85× |
| [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Strats (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-strats-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN | 20.0% | 122 | 114.2 | 1.07× |
| [P90 \| Desert Halftone (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-halftone-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN | 20.0% | 120 | 114.2 | 1.05× |
| [Sticker \| TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 16.0% | 128 | 114.2 | 1.12× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 16.0% | 104 | 114.2 | 0.91× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=77)

[Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.04 0.06 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.67x 2026-11-11 10:09 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.04 0.06 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.67x 2026-11-11 10:09 UTC

[Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $0.04 0.06 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.67x 2026-11-11 10:09 UTC

[Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-strats-field-tested) Hidden $0.04 0.06 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN 0.83x 2026-11-11 10:09 UTC

[P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) Hidden $0.04 0.06 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 1.17x 2026-11-11 10:09 UTC

[Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-strats-field-tested) [Poviliux](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Poviliux) $0.04 0.06 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN 0.83x 2026-11-11 10:09 UTC

[P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-field-tested) Hidden $0.04 0.06 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 1.17x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC

[P90 | Desert Halftone (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-halftone-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.04 0.06 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN 0.83x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC

[Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $0.04 0.06 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.67x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC

[Souvenir MAC-10 | Strats (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-strats-field-tested) Hidden $0.04 0.06 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN 0.83x 2026-11-11 08:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.04 | 83.33% | 5 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #4b69ff 20.0% #B0C3D9 20.0% #b0c3d9 20.0% high 20.0% consumer 20.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.33 on average: an expected loss of $16.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
