--- title: "Sam Degen 2 case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sam Degen 2 ($14.88) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.35% from 6 items with odds, observed 124.03% over 45 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/774 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Sam Degen 2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/774) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Sam Degen 2 A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/774?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/774?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/774) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/774?window=all) Price · $14.88 · 23.44 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.35% · EV $13.00 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 124.03% · 45 openings, odds method Variance · 16.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 45 openings · below min 30 days · 45 openings · below min since tracking started · 45 openings · below min 4.0% 392.3% 780.5% **Small sample.** 45 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/774?window=24h) | 6 | 452.89% ±326.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/774?window=7d) | 45 | 124.03% ±119.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/774) | 45 | 124.03% ±119.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/774?window=all) | 45 | 124.03% ±119.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 45 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $401 632 HUNT\_COIN | 30.9% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| Zeus (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zeus-gold) | 1 in 100 | $401 631 HUNT\_COIN | 30.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [SCAR-20 \| Brass (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-brass-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $163 256 HUNT\_COIN | 12.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $162 255 HUNT\_COIN | 12.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| Counter Logic Gaming (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-counter-logic-gaming-foil) | 1 in 100 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 8.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Sticker \| StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) | 95.0% | $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN | 4.8% | 43 | 42.8 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=774) [Sticker | StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) Hidden $14.88 23.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) Hidden $14.88 23.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) Hidden $14.88 23.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) Hidden $14.88 23.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) Hidden $14.88 23.44 HUNT\_COIN $401 632 HUNT\_COIN 26.95x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $14.88 23.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 19:08 UTC [Sticker | StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) Hidden $14.88 23.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-07 12:26 UTC [Sticker | StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) Hidden $14.88 23.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-07 12:26 UTC [Sticker | StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) Hidden $14.88 23.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-07 12:26 UTC [Sticker | StarLadder (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starladder-foil) Hidden $14.88 23.44 HUNT\_COIN $0.66 1.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-07 12:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $14.88 | 87.35% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.0% other 97.0% Mil Spec Grade 1.0% covert knife 1.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.35 on average: an expected loss of $12.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt