--- title: "SkyIsTheLimit case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SkyIsTheLimit ($2.20) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.87% from 4 items with odds, observed 35.94% over 645 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/788 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [SkyIsTheLimit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/788) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · SkyIsTheLimit A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/788?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/788?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/788) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/788?window=all) Price · $2.20 · 3.47 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.87% · EV $1.98 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 35.94% · 645 openings, odds method Variance · 306.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 179 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 74 openings · below min 7 days · 464 openings · below min 30 days · 645 openings · below min since tracking started · 645 openings · below min -0.5% 200.0% 400.5% **Small sample.** 645 openings and 3.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/788?window=24h) | 74 | 1.15% ±398.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/788?window=7d) | 464 | 49.52% ±159.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/788) | 645 | 35.94% ±135.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/788?window=all) | 645 | 35.94% ±135.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 660 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,846 4,482 HUNT\_COIN | 14.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $868 1,367 HUNT\_COIN | 21.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $247 389 HUNT\_COIN | 62.4% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× | | [Sticker \| TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) | 99.4% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 658 | 656.3 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) Hidden $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $247 389 HUNT\_COIN 112.2x 2026-11-07 04:12 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) Hidden $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $247 389 HUNT\_COIN 112.2x 2026-11-06 03:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=788) [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | TV On Mirage sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tv-on-mirage) Hidden $2.20 3.47 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.20 | 89.87% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.5% extraordinary 0.1% high 99.4% best hit $247 (112.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.87 on average: an expected loss of $10.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt