--- title: "ez 10% case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "ez 10% ($0.57) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.78% from 5 items with odds, observed 39.85% over 417 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/791 rendered: 2026-11-12T00:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [ez 10%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/791) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · ez 10% A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/791?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/791?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/791) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/791?window=all) Price · $0.57 · 0.9 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.78% · EV $0.51 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 39.85% · 417 openings, odds method Variance · 26.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 42 openings · below min 7 days · 46.90% ±57.28 304 openings 30 days · 39.85% ±48.91 417 openings since tracking started · 39.85% ±48.91 417 openings -0.5% 118.5% 237.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 88.78% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (0.00% – 88.76%, 417 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/791?window=24h) | 42 | 82.88% ±154.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/791?window=7d) | 304 | 46.90% ±57.3 | −1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/791) | 417 | 39.85% ±48.9 | −2.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/791?window=all) | 417 | 39.85% ±48.9 | −2.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 417 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $86.53 136 HUNT\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $45.83 72.19 HUNT\_COIN | 18.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $8.67 13.66 HUNT\_COIN | 68.4% | 8 | 16.7 | 0.48× | | [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Well-Worn) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $0.69 1.09 HUNT\_COIN | 7.9% | 30 | 24.1 | 1.24× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.3% | 379 | 375.3 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=791) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Glock-18 | Reactor (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN $8.67 13.66 HUNT\_COIN 15.18x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [osany](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/osany) $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.57 | 88.78% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 0.0% covert 0.2% mil spec 4.0% blueLight 5.8% Consumer Grade 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.78 on average: an expected loss of $11.22 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt