--- title: "try ur luck case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "try ur luck ($2.64) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.28% from 6 items with odds, observed 102.05% over 144 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/794 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [try ur luck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/794) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · try ur luck A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/794?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/794?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/794) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/794?window=all) Price · $2.64 · 4.16 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.28% · EV $2.31 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.05% · 144 openings, odds method Variance · 10.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 35 openings · below min 7 days · 102.05% ±52.89 144 openings 30 days · 102.05% ±52.89 144 openings since tracking started · 102.05% ±52.89 144 openings -0.5% 77.5% 155.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/794?window=24h) | 35 | 16.51% ±107.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/794?window=7d) | 144 | 102.05% ±52.9 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/794) | 144 | 102.05% ±52.9 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/794?window=all) | 144 | 102.05% ±52.9 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 144 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $232 366 HUNT\_COIN | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $165 260 HUNT\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $45.83 72.19 HUNT\_COIN | 19.9% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $33.26 52.39 HUNT\_COIN | 43.3% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.39× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-bad-trip-well-worn) | 10.0% | $7.21 11.36 HUNT\_COIN | 31.3% | 13 | 14.4 | 0.90× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 85.9% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 123 | 123.8 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=794) [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [Sewi #^](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sewi%20%23%5E) $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 06:54 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-bad-trip-well-worn) Hidden $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN $7.21 11.36 HUNT\_COIN 2.73x 2026-11-10 21:54 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 21:54 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 21:54 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-bad-trip-well-worn) [Ki-JoongSong](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Ki-JoongSong) $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN $7.21 11.36 HUNT\_COIN 2.73x 2026-11-10 21:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $2.64 | 87.28% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 0.0% Covert 0.1% covert 4.0% uncommon 10.0% consumer 85.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.28 on average: an expected loss of $12.72 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt