--- title: "10% ONLY DIAMONDS case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% ONLY DIAMONDS ($38.98) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.68% from 6 items with odds, observed 136.35% over 41 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/797 rendered: 2026-11-11T23:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% ONLY DIAMONDS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/797) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% ONLY DIAMONDS A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/797?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/797?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/797) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/797?window=all) Price · $38.98 · 61.39 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.68% · EV $34.56 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 136.35% · 41 openings, odds method Variance · 12.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 17 openings · below min 30 days · 41 openings · below min since tracking started · 41 openings · below min -0.5% 123.0% 246.5% **Small sample.** 41 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/797?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/797?window=7d) | 17 | 18.66% ±169.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/797) | 41 | 136.35% ±109.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/797?window=all) | 41 | 136.35% ±109.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 41 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,080 1,701 HUNT\_COIN | 31.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $608 958 HUNT\_COIN | 17.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $416 656 HUNT\_COIN | 12.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $367 577 HUNT\_COIN | 21.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $123 194 HUNT\_COIN | 17.9% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.49× | | [G3SG1 \| Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 37 | 36.9 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $1,080 1,701 HUNT\_COIN 27.71x 2026-11-04 07:48 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $608 958 HUNT\_COIN 15.61x 2026-11-04 07:48 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=797) [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 08:09 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 08:09 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $123 194 HUNT\_COIN 3.17x 2026-11-07 08:09 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 08:09 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 08:09 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 16:05 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 16:05 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 16:05 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 16:05 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $38.98 61.39 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 16:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $38.98 | 88.68% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 1.0% extraordinary 3.0% covert 6.0% Consumer Grade 90.0% best hit $1,080 (27.71x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.68 on average: an expected loss of $11.32 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt