--- title: "25 profit case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "25 profit ($1.56) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.20% from 7 items with odds, observed 75.22% over 93 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/799 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [25 profit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/799) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 25 profit A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/799?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/799?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/799) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/799?window=all) Price · $1.56 · 2.46 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.20% · EV $1.36 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.22% · 93 openings, odds method Variance · 18.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 93 openings · below min 30 days · 93 openings · below min since tracking started · 93 openings · below min -0.5% 174.8% 350.0% **Small sample.** 93 openings and 9.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/799?window=24h) | 10 | 83.62% ±265.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/799?window=7d) | 93 | 75.22% ±87.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/799) | 93 | 75.22% ±87.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/799?window=all) | 93 | 75.22% ±87.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 93 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $193 304 HUNT\_COIN | 14.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $49.03 77.23 HUNT\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $11.82 18.62 HUNT\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN | 12.3% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.96× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $4.79 7.55 HUNT\_COIN | 23.9% | 7 | 6.3 | 1.11× | | [Sticker \| Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) | 15.3% | $2.43 3.82 HUNT\_COIN | 27.2% | 14 | 14.2 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Dragon sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon) | 74.7% | $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 68 | 69.5 | 0.98× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=799) [Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) Hidden $1.56 2.46 HUNT\_COIN $2.43 3.82 HUNT\_COIN 1.55x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) Hidden $1.56 2.46 HUNT\_COIN $2.43 3.82 HUNT\_COIN 1.55x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | Dragon sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon) Hidden $1.56 2.46 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | Dragon sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon) Hidden $1.56 2.46 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | Dragon sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $1.56 2.46 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | Unicorn (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-unicorn-holo) Hidden $1.56 2.46 HUNT\_COIN $2.43 3.82 HUNT\_COIN 1.55x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | Dragon sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon) Hidden $1.56 2.46 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | Dragon sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon) Hidden $1.56 2.46 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | Dragon sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon) Hidden $1.56 2.46 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $1.56 2.46 HUNT\_COIN $4.79 7.55 HUNT\_COIN 3.07x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.56 | 87.20% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 0.1% classified 0.2% restricted 0.7% covert 2.2% red 6.8% Mythical 15.3% Rare 74.7% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.20 on average: an expected loss of $12.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt