--- title: "free case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "free ($3.40) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.41% from 9 items with odds, observed 23.67% over 23 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/8 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [free](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/8) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · free A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/8?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/8?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/8) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/8?window=all) Price · $3.40 · 5.36 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.41% · EV $2.97 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 23.67% · 23 openings, odds method Variance · 148.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 476 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 23 openings · below min 30 days · 23 openings · below min since tracking started · 23 openings · below min -0.5% 260.8% 522.0% **Small sample.** 23 openings and 0.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/8?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/8?window=7d) | 23 | 23.67% ±497.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/8) | 23 | 23.67% ±497.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/8?window=all) | 23 | 23.67% ±497.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 23 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,292 2,034 HUNT\_COIN | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,160 1,827 HUNT\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,080 1,701 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $913 1,438 HUNT\_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $770 1,213 HUNT\_COIN | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $550 866 HUNT\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) | 1 in 1,429 | $428 674 HUNT\_COIN | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Bosh (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bosh-holo) | 34.7% | $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN | 29.2% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.88× | | [Sticker \| Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) | 65.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 16 | 15.0 | 1.07× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=8) [Sticker | Bosh (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bosh-holo) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $3.40 5.36 HUNT\_COIN $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.74x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [Sticker | Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) Hidden $3.40 5.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [Sticker | Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) Hidden $3.40 5.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [Sticker | Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) Hidden $3.40 5.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [Sticker | Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) Hidden $3.40 5.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [Sticker | Bosh (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bosh-holo) Hidden $3.40 5.36 HUNT\_COIN $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.74x 2026-11-08 23:03 UTC [Sticker | Bosh (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bosh-holo) Hidden $3.40 5.36 HUNT\_COIN $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.74x 2026-11-05 17:57 UTC [Sticker | Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) Hidden $3.40 5.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-05 17:57 UTC [Sticker | Bosh (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bosh-holo) Hidden $3.40 5.36 HUNT\_COIN $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.74x 2026-11-05 17:57 UTC [Sticker | Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) Hidden $3.40 5.36 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-05 17:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.40 | 87.41% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% covert knife 0.0% covert 0.1% other 0.1% violet 34.7% Rare 65.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.41 on average: an expected loss of $12.59 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt