--- title: "05% red combo case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "05% red combo ($1.81) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.43% from 6 items with odds, observed 28.55% over 932 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/811 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [05% red combo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/811) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 05% red combo A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/811?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/811?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/811) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/811?window=all) Price · $1.81 · 2.85 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.43% · EV $1.58 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 28.55% · 932 openings, odds method Variance · 338.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 500 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 692 openings · below min 30 days · 932 openings · below min since tracking started · 932 openings · below min -0.5% 87.8% 176.0% **Small sample.** 932 openings and 1.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/811?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/811?window=7d) | 692 | 38.21% ±137.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/811) | 932 | 28.55% ±118.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/811?window=all) | 932 | 28.55% ±118.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 947 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,944 3,062 HUNT\_COIN | 12.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,509 2,377 HUNT\_COIN | 19.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $408 643 HUNT\_COIN | 12.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $300 472 HUNT\_COIN | 22.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $170 267 HUNT\_COIN | 32.2% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.35× | | [Sticker \| NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) | 99.5% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 945 | 942.3 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $300 472 HUNT\_COIN 165.8x 2026-11-07 03:41 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $170 267 HUNT\_COIN 93.79x 2026-11-07 18:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=811) [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:53 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:53 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:53 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:53 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:53 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:53 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:52 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:52 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) Hidden $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:52 UTC [Sticker | NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $1.81 2.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.81 | 87.43% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% classified 0.0% covert 0.5% other 99.5% best hit $300 (165.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.43 on average: an expected loss of $12.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt