--- title: "1% pistols case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "1% pistols ($1.43) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 6 items with odds, observed 33.27% over 245 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/814 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [1% pistols](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/814) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 1% pistols A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/814?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/814?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/814) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/814?window=all) Price · $1.43 · 2.25 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $1.25 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 33.27% · 245 openings, odds method Variance · 152.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 333 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 131 openings · below min 30 days · 245 openings · below min since tracking started · 245 openings · below min -0.5% 121.5% 243.5% **Small sample.** 245 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/814?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/814?window=7d) | 131 | 31.17% ±211.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/814) | 245 | 33.27% ±154.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/814?window=all) | 245 | 33.27% ±154.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 245 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $644 1,015 HUNT\_COIN | 25.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $217 341 HUNT\_COIN | 8.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $137 216 HUNT\_COIN | 22.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $102 160 HUNT\_COIN | 24.4% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $56.67 89.26 HUNT\_COIN | 18.1% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 1.0% | 243 | 242.6 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=814) [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $1.43 2.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:06 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $1.43 2.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:06 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) [Terracidre](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Terracidre) $1.43 2.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 06:06 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $1.43 2.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $1.43 2.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $1.43 2.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $1.43 2.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) [KenzIRL](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/KenzIRL) $1.43 2.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:57 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $1.43 2.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:55 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $1.43 2.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 17:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.43 | 87.50% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.3% classified 0.1% restricted 0.3% red 0.4% Common 99.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt