--- title: "Holy Awp case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Holy Awp ($213.28) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 11 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/821 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Holy Awp](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/821) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Holy Awp A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/821?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/821?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/821) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/821?window=all) Price · $213.28 · 336 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $186.36 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 9.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 29 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/821?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/821?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/821) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/821?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $7,292 11,484 HUNT\_COIN | 19.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $3,305 5,206 HUNT\_COIN | 17.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $2,028 3,194 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $1,597 2,516 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $964 1,518 HUNT\_COIN | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $463 729 HUNT\_COIN | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $361 569 HUNT\_COIN | 14.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 10.0% | $109 171 HUNT\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $35.61 56.09 HUNT\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pink-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $19.03 29.98 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $11.78 18.56 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=821) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 14:05 UTC | $213 | 87.38% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% industrial 2.5% Classified 7.5% classified 25.0% #8847FF 25.0% restricted 25.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt