--- title: "10% ez profit case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% ez profit ($0.62) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.17% from 6 items with odds, observed 108.34% over 541 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/825 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% ez profit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/825) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% ez profit A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/825?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/825?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/825) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/825?window=all) Price · $0.62 · 0.98 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.17% · EV $0.55 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 108.34% · 541 openings, odds method Variance · 19.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 101.71% ±50.63 285 openings 7 days · 103.48% ±38.34 497 openings 30 days · 108.34% ±36.75 541 openings since tracking started · 108.34% ±36.75 541 openings 50.5% 101.8% 153.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/825?window=24h) | 285 | 101.71% ±50.6 | +0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/825?window=7d) | 497 | 103.48% ±38.3 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/825) | 541 | 108.34% ±36.7 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/825?window=all) | 541 | 108.34% ±36.7 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 541 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $87.30 137 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $44.44 70 HUNT\_COIN | 16.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $8.70 13.71 HUNT\_COIN | 36.5% | 17 | 12.4 | 1.37× | | [USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $8.48 13.35 HUNT\_COIN | 38.6% | 17 | 13.5 | 1.26× | | [Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.69 1.09 HUNT\_COIN | 6.3% | 32 | 27.1 | 1.18× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 474 | 486.9 | 0.97× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) Hidden $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN $44.44 70 HUNT\_COIN 71.43x 2026-11-10 22:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=825) [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [TerorizezBabe.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/TerorizezBabe.) $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [TerorizezBabe.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/TerorizezBabe.) $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) Hidden $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN $0.69 1.09 HUNT\_COIN 1.11x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.62 | 88.17% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.0% restricted 0.2% industrial 2.3% Mythical 2.5% Mil Spec 5.0% consumer 90.0% best hit $44.44 (71.43x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.17 on average: an expected loss of $11.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt