--- title: "10% Rich Basic case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Rich Basic ($17.41) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.40% from 5 items with odds, observed 88.95% over 613 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/831 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% Rich Basic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/831) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% Rich Basic A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/831?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/831?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/831) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/831?window=all) Price · $17.41 · 27.42 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.40% · EV $15.22 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.95% · 613 openings, odds method Variance · 134.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 286 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 363 openings · below min 30 days · 613 openings · below min since tracking started · 613 openings · below min -0.5% 463.2% 927.0% **Small sample.** 613 openings and 2.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/831?window=24h) | 6 | 0.07% ±926.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/831?window=7d) | 363 | 96.68% ±119.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/831) | 613 | 88.95% ±91.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/831?window=all) | 613 | 88.95% ±91.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 613 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $5,903 9,297 HUNT\_COIN | 38.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $1,290 2,032 HUNT\_COIN | 21.2% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.96× | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $486 766 HUNT\_COIN | 24.0% | 9 | 4.6 | 1.96× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 10.0% | $24.29 38.26 HUNT\_COIN | 16.0% | 51 | 61.3 | 0.83× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 88.9% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 550 | 545.0 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $1,290 2,032 HUNT\_COIN 74.11x 2026-11-10 10:19 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $1,290 2,032 HUNT\_COIN 74.11x 2026-11-10 09:45 UTC [AUG | Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $1,290 2,032 HUNT\_COIN 74.11x 2026-11-04 09:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=831) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $17.41 27.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $17.41 | 87.40% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% covert 10.3% covert knife 0.8% consumer 88.9% best hit $1,290 (74.11x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.40 on average: an expected loss of $12.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt