--- title: "A Sticker And A Dream case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "A Sticker And A Dream ($1.12) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.76% from 10 items with odds, observed 74.44% over 49 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/833 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [A Sticker And A Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/833) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · A Sticker And A Dream A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/833?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/833?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/833) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/833?window=all) Price · $1.12 · 1.77 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.76% · EV $1.00 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 74.44% · 49 openings, odds method Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 44 openings · below min 30 days · 49 openings · below min since tracking started · 49 openings · below min 7.5% 84.3% 161.0% **Small sample.** 49 openings and 7.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/833?window=24h) | 10 | 84.41% ±76.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/833?window=7d) | 44 | 77.25% ±36.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/833) | 49 | 74.44% ±34.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/833?window=all) | 49 | 74.44% ±34.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 49 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Battle Scarred (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred-holo) | 1 in 50 | $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN | 15.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Seeing Red (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red-foil) | 1 in 50 | $4.86 7.66 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Firestarter (Holo) sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-firestarter-holo) | 1 in 20 | $4.01 6.32 HUNT\_COIN | 20.1% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.41× | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-foil) | 1 in 17 | $1.72 2.71 HUNT\_COIN | 10.3% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.36× | | [Sticker \| Max (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-max-holo) | 10.0% | $1.00 1.58 HUNT\_COIN | 10.1% | 8 | 4.9 | 1.63× | | [Sticker \| Nice Clutch (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nice-clutch-holo) | 10.0% | $0.95 1.49 HUNT\_COIN | 9.5% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.82× | | [Sticker \| Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) | 20.0% | $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN | 11.5% | 14 | 9.8 | 1.43× | | [Sticker \| Gold Web sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web) | 20.0% | $0.55 0.87 HUNT\_COIN | 11.1% | 8 | 9.8 | 0.82× | | [Sticker \| Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) | 12.5% | $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 7 | 6.1 | 1.14× | | [Sticker \| skullz (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skullz-glitter) | 12.5% | $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 2 | 6.1 | 0.33× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=833) [Sticker | Hot Rod Heat sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-rod-heat) Hidden $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.11 0.18 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [Sticker | Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) Hidden $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.51x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [Sticker | Max (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-max-holo) Hidden $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN $1.00 1.58 HUNT\_COIN 0.89x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [Sticker | Nice Clutch (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nice-clutch-holo) Hidden $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.95 1.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.84x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [Sticker | Gold Web sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web) Hidden $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.55 0.87 HUNT\_COIN 0.49x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [Sticker | Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) [TerorizezBabe.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/TerorizezBabe.) $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.51x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [Sticker | Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) Hidden $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.51x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [Sticker | Firestarter (Holo) sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-firestarter-holo) Hidden $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN $4.01 6.32 HUNT\_COIN 3.57x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [Sticker | Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) Hidden $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.51x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC [Sticker | Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) [TerorizezBabe.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/TerorizezBabe.) $1.12 1.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.57 0.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.51x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.12 | 88.76% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Mythical 2.0% exotic 2.0% Rare 5.0% other 18.5% remarkable 10.0% violet 10.0% high 20.0% pink 20.0% #4b69ff 12.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.76 on average: an expected loss of $11.24 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt