--- title: "10% AWP case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "10% AWP ($1.99) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.19% from 3 items with odds, observed 102.55% over 517 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/834 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% AWP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/834) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% AWP A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/834?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/834?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/834) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/834?window=all) Price · $1.99 · 3.13 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.19% · EV $1.73 from 3 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.55% · 517 openings, odds method Variance · 5.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 96.17% ±20.26 493 openings 30 days · 102.55% ±19.78 517 openings since tracking started · 102.55% ±19.78 517 openings -0.5% 158.0% 316.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/834?window=24h) | 6 | 132.37% ±183.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/834?window=7d) | 493 | 96.17% ±20.3 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/834) | 517 | 102.55% ±19.8 | +1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/834?window=all) | 517 | 102.55% ±19.8 | +1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 3 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 517 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $15.37 24.21 HUNT\_COIN | 88.7% | 62 | 51.7 | 1.20× | | [AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.30 2.04 HUNT\_COIN | 7.5% | 52 | 51.7 | 1.01× | | [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 80.0% | $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN | 3.8% | 403 | 413.6 | 0.97× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=834) [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $1.99 3.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $1.99 3.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.99 3.13 HUNT\_COIN $15.37 24.21 HUNT\_COIN 7.73x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $1.99 3.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $1.99 3.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Mr Blekt0](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Mr%20Blekt0) $1.99 3.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 09:01 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $1.99 3.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 14:06 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $1.99 3.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 14:06 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $1.99 3.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 14:06 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $1.99 3.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 14:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.99 | 87.19% | 3 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 20.0% industrial 80.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.19 on average: an expected loss of $12.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt