--- title: "ezwin case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "ezwin ($0.10) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.50% from 9 items with odds, observed 90.28% over 4,760 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/840 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [ezwin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/840) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · ezwin A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/840?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/840?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/840) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/840?window=all) Price · $0.10 · 0.16 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.50% · EV $0.09 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.28% · 4,760 openings, odds method Variance · 17.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 96.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 79.62% ±36.32 518 openings 7 days · 90.07% ±12.51 4,368 openings 30 days · 90.28% ±11.98 4,760 openings since tracking started · 90.28% ±11.98 4,760 openings 42.5% 79.5% 116.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/840?window=24h) | 518 | 79.62% ±36.3 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/840?window=7d) | 4,368 | 90.07% ±12.5 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/840) | 4,760 | 90.28% ±12.0 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/840?window=all) | 4,760 | 90.28% ±12.0 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,760 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $3.43 5.41 HUNT\_COIN | 37.8% | 45 | 47.6 | 0.95× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $2.10 3.31 HUNT\_COIN | 23.1% | 49 | 47.6 | 1.03× | | [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1.50 2.37 HUNT\_COIN | 16.6% | 55 | 47.6 | 1.16× | | [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 46 | 47.6 | 0.97× | | [Souvenir Sawed-Off \| Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 951 | 952.0 | 1.00× | | [Souvenir P90 \| Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 959 | 952.0 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 950 | 952.0 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 975 | 952.0 | 1.02× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) | 16.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 730 | 761.6 | 0.96× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=840) [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC [AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) [Momaaa @bandit](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Momaaa%20%40bandit) $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN $3.43 5.41 HUNT\_COIN 33.81x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC [Souvenir Sawed-Off | Sage Spray (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sawed-off-sage-spray-well-worn) Hidden $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-well-worn) Hidden $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Ancient Earth (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-ancient-earth-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.13x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.10 | 89.50% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #4b69ff 1.0% Classified 1.0% mil spec 1.0% #8847ff 1.0% Common 40.0% other 40.0% consumer 16.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.50 on average: an expected loss of $10.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt