--- title: "Farmer Hunt case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Farmer Hunt ($0.05) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.90% from 5 items with odds, observed 78.87% over 4,364 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/855 rendered: 2026-11-11T12:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Farmer Hunt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/855) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Farmer Hunt A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/855?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/855?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/855) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/855?window=all) Price · $0.05 · 0.08 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.90% · EV $0.05 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.87% · 4,364 openings, odds method Variance · 21.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 120.62% ±38.80 548 openings 7 days · 78.09% ±15.13 3,604 openings 30 days · 78.87% ±13.75 4,364 openings since tracking started · 78.87% ±13.75 4,364 openings 62.5% 111.3% 160.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/855?window=24h) | 548 | 120.62% ±38.8 | +1.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/855?window=7d) | 3,604 | 78.09% ±15.1 | −1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/855) | 4,364 | 78.87% ±13.7 | −1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/855?window=all) | 4,364 | 78.87% ±13.7 | −1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,364 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $4.43 6.98 HUNT\_COIN | 19.4% | 3 | 8.7 | 0.34× | | [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $1.35 2.12 HUNT\_COIN | 14.7% | 22 | 21.8 | 1.01× | | [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $0.71 1.12 HUNT\_COIN | 15.6% | 49 | 43.6 | 1.12× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN | 23.8% | 122 | 130.9 | 0.93× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 95.3% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 26.5% | 4,168 | 4158.9 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=855) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:02 UTC [FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-factory-new) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.71 1.12 HUNT\_COIN 14.00x 2026-11-11 10:02 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:02 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:02 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:02 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Sen](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sen) $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:02 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:02 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:02 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:02 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-11 10:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.05 | 89.90% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 0.2% pink 0.5% #87c7ff 1.0% #8847ff 3.0% Consumer Grade 95.3% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.90 on average: an expected loss of $10.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt