--- title: "1% lucky dih case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% lucky dih ($1.54) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.13% from 2 items with odds, observed 82.89% over 631 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/865 rendered: 2026-11-12T00:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [1% lucky dih](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/865) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 1% lucky dih A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/865?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/865?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/865) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/865?window=all) Price · $1.54 · 2.43 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.13% · EV $1.34 from 2 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.89% · 631 openings, odds method Variance · 148.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 487 openings · below min 30 days · 631 openings · below min since tracking started · 631 openings · below min -0.5% 199.3% 399.0% **Small sample.** 631 openings and 3.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/865?window=24h) | 36 | 0.82% ±397.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/865?window=7d) | 487 | 71.71% ±108.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/865) | 631 | 82.89% ±95.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/865?window=all) | 631 | 82.89% ±95.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 646 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $266 419 HUNT\_COIN | 99.1% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) | 99.5% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 643 | 642.8 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $266 419 HUNT\_COIN 172.6x 2026-11-09 14:11 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $266 419 HUNT\_COIN 172.6x 2026-11-07 06:43 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $266 419 HUNT\_COIN 172.6x 2026-11-03 16:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=865) [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:03 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:03 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 02:03 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) [Trevor Lett](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Trevor%20Lett) $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:56 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 01:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.54 | 87.13% | 2 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.5% other 99.5% best hit $266 (172.6x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.13 on average: an expected loss of $12.87 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt