--- title: "10% max profit case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% max profit ($0.61) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.63% from 6 items with odds, observed 81.18% over 624 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/873 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% max profit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/873) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% max profit A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/873?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/873?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/873) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/873?window=all) Price · $0.61 · 0.96 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.63% · EV $0.53 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.18% · 624 openings, odds method Variance · 23.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 37 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 90.32% ±52.90 328 openings 7 days · 83.07% ±39.89 577 openings 30 days · 81.18% ±38.35 624 openings since tracking started · 81.18% ±38.35 624 openings 37.0% 90.5% 144.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/873?window=24h) | 328 | 90.32% ±52.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/873?window=7d) | 577 | 83.07% ±39.9 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/873) | 624 | 81.18% ±38.4 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/873?window=all) | 624 | 81.18% ±38.4 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 624 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $109 171 HUNT\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Corticera (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $42.90 67.57 HUNT\_COIN | 16.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.80× | | [AWP \| POP AWP (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $8.46 13.33 HUNT\_COIN | 39.6% | 18 | 15.6 | 1.15× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $7.56 11.91 HUNT\_COIN | 32.3% | 12 | 14.2 | 0.84× | | [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN | 5.8% | 25 | 31.2 | 0.80× | | [Sticker \| Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 568 | 561.6 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-corticera-field-tested) [wavxx123](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/wavxx123) $0.61 0.96 HUNT\_COIN $42.90 67.57 HUNT\_COIN 70.39x 2026-11-10 22:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=873) [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $0.61 0.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $0.61 0.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $0.61 0.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $0.61 0.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) [TerorizezBabe.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/TerorizezBabe.) $0.61 0.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $0.61 0.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.61 0.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN 1.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $0.61 0.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [AWP | POP AWP (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-factory-new) Hidden $0.61 0.96 HUNT\_COIN $8.46 13.33 HUNT\_COIN 13.89x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) [TerorizezBabe.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/TerorizezBabe.) $0.61 0.96 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.61 | 87.63% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% classified 2.5% Restricted 2.5% restricted 5.0% Rare 90.0% best hit $42.90 (70.39x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.63 on average: an expected loss of $12.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt