--- title: "SKINDA COME UP case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SKINDA COME UP ($0.62) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.42% from 4 items with odds, observed 125.65% over 511 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/877 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [SKINDA COME UP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/877) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · SKINDA COME UP A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/877?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/877?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/877) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/877?window=all) Price · $0.62 · 0.97 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.42% · EV $0.54 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 125.65% · 511 openings, odds method Variance · 25.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 22 openings · below min 7 days · 479 openings · below min 30 days · 125.65% ±43.90 511 openings since tracking started · 125.65% ±43.90 511 openings -0.5% 118.0% 236.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/877?window=24h) | 22 | 24.04% ±211.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/877?window=7d) | 479 | 122.01% ±45.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/877) | 511 | 125.65% ±43.9 | +1.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/877?window=all) | 511 | 125.65% ±43.9 | +1.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 511 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $29.17 45.95 HUNT\_COIN | 54.2% | 9 | 5.1 | 1.76× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Virus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-virus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $7.99 12.59 HUNT\_COIN | 29.7% | 11 | 10.2 | 1.08× | | [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $2.99 4.71 HUNT\_COIN | 13.9% | 13 | 12.8 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) | 94.5% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 478 | 482.9 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=877) [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC [M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN $2.99 4.71 HUNT\_COIN 4.86x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) [cheese](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/cheese) $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) [cheese](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/cheese) $0.62 0.97 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.62 | 87.42% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed pink 1.0% restricted 4.5% other 94.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.42 on average: an expected loss of $12.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt