--- title: "6% group farm case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "6% group farm ($6.89) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 12 items with odds, observed 102.26% over 3,086 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/895 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [6% group farm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/895) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 6% group farm A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/895?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/895?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/895) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/895?window=all) Price · $6.89 · 10.85 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $6.02 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.26% · 3,086 openings, odds method Variance · 63.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 217 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 106.82% ±30.36 2,654 openings 30 days · 102.26% ±28.16 3,086 openings since tracking started · 102.26% ±28.16 3,086 openings -0.5% 320.5% 641.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/895?window=24h) | 6 | 2.20% ±638.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/895?window=7d) | 2,654 | 106.82% ±30.4 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/895) | 3,086 | 102.26% ±28.2 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/895?window=all) | 3,086 | 102.26% ±28.2 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,086 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,051 1,655 HUNT\_COIN | 34.9% | 7 | 6.2 | 1.13× | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $770 1,213 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $625 984 HUNT\_COIN | 5.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.30× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $326 514 HUNT\_COIN | 10.8% | 10 | 6.2 | 1.62× | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $309 486 HUNT\_COIN | 15.4% | 13 | 9.3 | 1.40× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $132 208 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $51.58 81.24 HUNT\_COIN | 22.9% | 79 | 82.4 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| fer (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fer-foil) | 1 in 100 | $20.29 31.95 HUNT\_COIN | 3.4% | 37 | 30.9 | 1.20× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Sergeant (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-sergeant-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $6.79 10.7 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 29 | 30.9 | 0.94× | | [Nova \| Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) | 60.0% | $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 1,894 | 1851.6 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Memorial (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-memorial-field-tested) | 23.4% | $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 711 | 723.7 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) | 11.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 301 | 339.5 | 0.89× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $1,051 1,655 HUNT\_COIN 152.5x 2026-11-05 20:37 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [CHUD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/CHUD) $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $1,051 1,655 HUNT\_COIN 152.5x 2026-11-04 21:00 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $1,051 1,655 HUNT\_COIN 152.5x 2026-11-04 21:00 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $1,051 1,655 HUNT\_COIN 152.5x 2026-11-04 20:57 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $1,051 1,655 HUNT\_COIN 152.5x 2026-11-04 20:53 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [CHUD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/CHUD) $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $1,051 1,655 HUNT\_COIN 152.5x 2026-11-04 20:15 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $1,051 1,655 HUNT\_COIN 152.5x 2026-11-04 20:15 UTC [★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $625 984 HUNT\_COIN 90.72x 2026-11-07 16:54 UTC [★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $625 984 HUNT\_COIN 90.72x 2026-11-04 20:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=895) [Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:23 UTC [Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:23 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:23 UTC [Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:23 UTC [Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:23 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-memorial-field-tested) [z30cutie](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/z30cutie) $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:23 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-memorial-field-tested) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) Hidden $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC [Nova | Caged Steel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-caged-steel-field-tested) [Terracidre](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Terracidre) $6.89 10.85 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 23:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.89 | 87.38% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.3% covert knife 0.3% other 1.0% restricted 1.0% industrial 60.0% #4b69ff 34.4% best hit $1,051 (152.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt