--- title: "3 percent 28x case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "3 percent 28x ($1.56) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.30% from 2 items with odds, observed 58.85% over 549 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/903 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [3 percent 28x](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/903) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 3 percent 28x A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/903?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/903?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/903) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/903?window=all) Price · $1.56 · 2.45 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.30% · EV $1.36 from 2 items Observed RTP, 30d · 58.85% · 549 openings, odds method Variance · 23.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 70.11% ±46.75 417 openings 30 days · 58.85% ±40.75 549 openings since tracking started · 58.85% ±40.75 549 openings 17.5% 67.5% 117.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/903?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/903?window=7d) | 417 | 70.11% ±46.8 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/903) | 549 | 58.85% ±40.7 | −1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/903?window=all) | 549 | 58.85% ±40.7 | −1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 549 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $44.44 70 HUNT\_COIN | 98.2% | 11 | 16.5 | 0.67× | | [Sticker \| Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) | 97.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 538 | 532.5 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=903) [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $1.56 2.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:42 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $1.56 2.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:42 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $1.56 2.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:42 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $1.56 2.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:42 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.56 2.45 HUNT\_COIN $44.44 70 HUNT\_COIN 28.57x 2026-11-10 09:42 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) [osany](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/osany) $1.56 2.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:42 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $1.56 2.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:42 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $1.56 2.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:42 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $1.56 2.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:42 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $1.56 2.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 09:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.56 | 87.30% | 2 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 3.0% other 97.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.30 on average: an expected loss of $12.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt