--- title: "1% Crazy Style case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% Crazy Style ($0.81) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.85% from 8 items with odds, observed 142.89% over 939 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/924 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [1% Crazy Style](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/924) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 1% Crazy Style A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/924?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/924?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/924) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/924?window=all) Price · $0.81 · 1.28 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.85% · EV $0.73 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 142.89% · 939 openings, odds method Variance · 487.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 125 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 137.09% ±160.54 727 openings 30 days · 142.89% ±141.26 939 openings since tracking started · 142.89% ±141.26 939 openings -0.5% 149.0% 298.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/924?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/924?window=7d) | 727 | 137.09% ±160.5 | +0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/924) | 939 | 142.89% ±141.3 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/924?window=all) | 939 | 142.89% ±141.3 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 939 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000,000 | $48.6K 76,561 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $4,152 6,540 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers) | 1 in 100,000 | $556 875 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $324 510 HUNT\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $146 230 HUNT\_COIN | 20.0% | 2 | 0.9 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 145 | $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN | 65.5% | 11 | 6.5 | 1.70× | | [Sticker \| Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) | 1 in 500 | $23.26 36.64 HUNT\_COIN | 6.4% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) | 99.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 1.7% | 925 | 929.6 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $146 230 HUNT\_COIN 179.4x 2026-11-09 13:13 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $146 230 HUNT\_COIN 179.4x 2026-11-09 13:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN 85.45x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [d1sab1ed](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/d1sab1ed) $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN 85.45x 2026-11-09 13:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN 85.45x 2026-11-09 13:25 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN 85.45x 2026-11-09 13:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN 85.45x 2026-11-09 13:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN 85.45x 2026-11-09 13:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [PUTO COCAINA](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PUTO%20COCAINA) $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN 85.45x 2026-11-06 11:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN 85.45x 2026-11-04 08:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=924) [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) [d1sab1ed](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/d1sab1ed) $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.81 | 89.85% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% Covert 0.0% other 99.0% classified 0.1% covert 0.7% exotic 0.2% best hit $146 (179.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.85 on average: an expected loss of $10.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt