--- title: "Imagine hitting this tho case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Imagine hitting this tho ($0.08) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.12% from 4 items with odds, observed 79.71% over 373 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/925 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Imagine hitting this tho](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/925) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Imagine hitting this tho A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/925?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/925?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/925) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/925?window=all) Price · $0.08 · 0.13 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 89.12% · EV $0.07 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.71% · 373 openings, odds method Variance · 34684.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 50.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 78.43% ±2053.39 316 openings 30 days · 79.71% ±1889.99 373 openings since tracking started · 79.71% ±1889.99 373 openings -0.5% 1066.0% 2132.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/925?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/925?window=7d) | 316 | 78.43% ±2053.4 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/925) | 373 | 79.71% ±1890.0 | −0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/925?window=all) | 373 | 79.71% ±1890.0 | −0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 373 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000,000 | $48.6K 76,561 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) | 50.0% | $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN | 64.7% | 165 | 186.5 | 0.88× | | [Sticker \| Clicking Heads sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clicking-heads) | 22.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN | 19.0% | 93 | 82.1 | 1.13× | | [Sticker \| Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) | 28.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 9.7% | 115 | 104.4 | 1.10× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 10 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=925) [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-09 21:23 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-09 21:23 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 1.15x 2026-11-09 21:23 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 1.15x 2026-11-09 21:23 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 1.15x 2026-11-09 21:23 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) [Synx](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Synx) $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 1.15x 2026-11-09 21:23 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-09 17:31 UTC [Sticker | Apeks sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks) Hidden $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.31x 2026-11-09 17:31 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 1.15x 2026-11-09 17:31 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 1.15x 2026-11-09 17:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.08 | 89.12% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% #4b69ff 50.0% Rare 22.0% other 28.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.12 on average: an expected loss of $10.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt