--- title: "10% Knife Guaranteed case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Knife Guaranteed ($23.10) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 66.37% over 89 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/947 rendered: 2026-11-12T08:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% Knife Guaranteed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/947) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% Knife Guaranteed A case on Hunt.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/947?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/947?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/947) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/947?window=all) Price · $23.10 · 36.38 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 66.37% · 89 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 66 openings · below min 7 days · 89 openings · below min 30 days · 89 openings · below min since tracking started · 89 openings · below min 15.0% 81.3% 147.5% **Small sample.** 89 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/947?window=24h) | 66 | 81.33% ±65.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/947?window=7d) | 89 | 66.37% ±49.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/947) | 89 | 66.37% ±49.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/947?window=all) | 89 | 66.37% ±49.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hunt.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=947) [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $23.10 36.38 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $23.10 36.38 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $23.10 36.38 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $23.10 36.38 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $23.10 36.38 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) [MiLa](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/MiLa) $23.10 36.38 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $23.10 36.38 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $23.10 36.38 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $23.10 36.38 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $23.10 36.38 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-12 04:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 66.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $66.37 on average: an expected loss of $33.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt