--- title: "x20 case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "x20 ($3.52) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.32% from 4 items with odds, observed 79.98% over 839 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/952 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [x20](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/952) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · x20 A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/952?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/952?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/952) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/952?window=all) Price · $3.52 · 5.54 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.32% · EV $3.07 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.98% · 839 openings, odds method Variance · 12.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 76.94% ±26.23 683 openings 30 days · 79.98% ±23.67 839 openings since tracking started · 79.98% ±23.67 839 openings 50.0% 77.3% 104.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/952?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/952?window=7d) | 683 | 76.94% ±26.2 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/952) | 839 | 79.98% ±23.7 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/952?window=all) | 839 | 79.98% ±23.7 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 839 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN | 67.8% | 25 | 25.2 | 0.99× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $18.41 28.99 HUNT\_COIN | 18.0% | 18 | 25.2 | 0.72× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $14.15 22.29 HUNT\_COIN | 13.8% | 20 | 25.2 | 0.79× | | [Sticker \| Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) | 91.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 776 | 763.5 | 1.02× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=952) [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 10:55 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:45 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:45 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:45 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 09:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.52 | 87.32% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.0% classified 3.0% Rare 91.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.32 on average: an expected loss of $12.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt