--- title: "Broke battler case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Broke battler ($0.03) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 78.00% from 4 items with odds, observed 79.55% over 1,338 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/961 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Broke battler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/961) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Broke battler A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/961?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/961?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/961) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/961?window=all) Price · $0.03 · 0.05 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 78.00% · EV $0.02 from 4 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.55% · 1,338 openings, odds method Variance · 0.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 60.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.84% ±5.58 202 openings 7 days · 80.48% ±2.37 1,116 openings 30 days · 79.55% ±2.17 1,338 openings since tracking started · 79.55% ±2.17 1,338 openings 76.5% 84.3% 92.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/961?window=24h) | 202 | 85.84% ±5.58 | +2.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/961?window=7d) | 1,116 | 80.48% ±2.37 | +2.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/961) | 1,338 | 79.55% ±2.17 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/961?window=all) | 1,338 | 79.55% ±2.17 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,343 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) | 10.0% | $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN | 20.5% | 135 | 134.3 | 1.01× | | [AUG \| Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN | 17.9% | 144 | 134.3 | 1.07× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 40.0% | $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN | 41.0% | 561 | 537.2 | 1.04× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 40.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 20.5% | 503 | 537.2 | 0.94× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=961) [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [nälkämö](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/n%C3%A4lk%C3%A4m%C3%B6) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Sticker | gla1ve (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gla1ve-glitter) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.05 0.08 HUNT\_COIN 1.60x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [nälkämö](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/n%C3%A4lk%C3%A4m%C3%B6) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [nälkämö](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/n%C3%A4lk%C3%A4m%C3%B6) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Giftedd](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Giftedd) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Giftedd](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Giftedd) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) [Giftedd](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Giftedd) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 1.40x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [AUG | Steel Sentinel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-battle-scarred) [Giftedd](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Giftedd) $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN 1.40x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.03 | 78.00% | 4 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 10.0% industrial 10.0% consumer 40.0% Consumer Grade 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.00 on average: an expected loss of $22.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt