--- title: "Best cheap 11% case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Best cheap 11% ($0.31) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.14% from 2 items with odds, observed 82.74% over 288 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/965 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Best cheap 11%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/965) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Best cheap 11% A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/965?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/965?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/965) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/965?window=all) Price · $0.31 · 0.49 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.14% · EV $0.27 from 2 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.74% · 288 openings, odds method Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 48 openings · below min 7 days · 61.15% ±35.31 172 openings 30 days · 82.74% ±27.29 288 openings since tracking started · 82.74% ±27.29 288 openings -0.5% 67.0% 134.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/965?window=24h) | 48 | 67.01% ±66.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/965?window=7d) | 172 | 61.15% ±35.3 | −1.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/965) | 288 | 82.74% ±27.3 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/965?window=all) | 288 | 82.74% ±27.3 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 288 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 11.0% | $2.36 3.72 HUNT\_COIN | 95.8% | 30 | 31.7 | 0.95× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 89.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 4.2% | 258 | 256.3 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=965) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Sr.Calavera](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sr.Calavera) $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.31 | 87.14% | 2 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #d32ee6 11.0% Consumer Grade 89.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.14 on average: an expected loss of $12.86 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt