--- title: "Best value case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Best value ($0.37) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.43% from 6 items with odds, observed 65.98% over 311 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/966 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Best value](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/966) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Best value A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/966?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/966?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/966) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/966?window=all) Price · $0.37 · 0.58 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 88.43% · EV $0.33 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 65.98% · 311 openings, odds method Variance · 6.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 69.17% ±31.65 257 openings 30 days · 65.98% ±28.77 311 openings since tracking started · 65.98% ±28.77 311 openings 36.5% 69.0% 101.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/966?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/966?window=7d) | 257 | 69.17% ±31.7 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/966) | 311 | 65.98% ±28.8 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/966?window=all) | 311 | 65.98% ±28.8 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 311 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $12.08 19.03 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-factory-new) | 1 in 417 | $4.76 7.5 HUNT\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Dust FA (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dust-fa-foil) | 1 in 400 | $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN | 3.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [AWP \| Phobos (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $3.32 5.23 HUNT\_COIN | 45.9% | 16 | 14.0 | 1.14× | | [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $2.81 4.42 HUNT\_COIN | 43.1% | 5 | 15.6 | 0.32× | | [P90 \| Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) | 90.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 3.5% | 289 | 279.9 | 1.03× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=966) [P90 | Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 0.58 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 09:35 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 0.58 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 09:35 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 0.58 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 09:35 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 0.58 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 09:35 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 0.58 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 09:35 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $0.37 0.58 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 09:35 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 0.58 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 09:35 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 0.58 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 09:35 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 0.58 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 09:35 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) Hidden $0.37 0.58 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 09:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.37 | 88.43% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% restricted 5.2% Legendary 0.3% #8847ff 4.5% consumer 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.43 on average: an expected loss of $11.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt