--- title: "10% Premium case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Premium ($0.31) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.85% from 10 items with odds, observed 89.01% over 1,106 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/967 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% Premium](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/967) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% Premium A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/967?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/967?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/967) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/967?window=all) Price · $0.31 · 0.49 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.85% · EV $0.27 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.01% · 1,106 openings, odds method Variance · 10.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 126 openings · below min 7 days · 91.57% ±20.38 924 openings 30 days · 89.01% ±18.62 1,106 openings since tracking started · 89.01% ±18.62 1,106 openings 17.5% 73.3% 129.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/967?window=24h) | 126 | 73.10% ±55.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/967?window=7d) | 924 | 91.57% ±20.4 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/967) | 1,106 | 89.01% ±18.6 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/967?window=all) | 1,106 | 89.01% ±18.6 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,106 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $18.95 29.85 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $14.15 22.29 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $8.03 12.64 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-hydro-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $5.84 9.2 HUNT\_COIN | 21.6% | 9 | 11.1 | 0.81× | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-purple-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $4.50 7.09 HUNT\_COIN | 33.3% | 32 | 22.1 | 1.45× | | [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $2.81 4.42 HUNT\_COIN | 20.8% | 18 | 22.1 | 0.81× | | [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $1.40 2.21 HUNT\_COIN | 5.3% | 10 | 11.4 | 0.88× | | [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN | 12.0% | 39 | 43.1 | 0.90× | | [Sticker \| OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) | 45.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 513 | 497.7 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) | 45.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 485 | 497.7 | 0.97× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=967) [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:10 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:10 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:10 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:10 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:10 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) [wavxx123](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/wavxx123) $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:10 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:10 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:10 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:10 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.pro sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro) Hidden $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 22:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.31 | 86.85% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.1% uncommon 1.0% Mil Spec Grade 2.0% restricted 2.0% blue 1.0% #8847ff 3.9% other 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.85 on average: an expected loss of $13.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt