--- title: "Sharing 5% case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sharing 5% ($0.27) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.09% from 13 items with odds, observed 88.95% over 1,070 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/968 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Sharing 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/968) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Sharing 5% A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/968?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/968?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/968) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/968?window=all) Price · $0.27 · 0.42 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 87.09% · EV $0.23 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.95% · 1,070 openings, odds method Variance · 22.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 80 openings · below min 7 days · 83.98% ±32.03 843 openings 30 days · 88.95% ±28.43 1,070 openings since tracking started · 88.95% ±28.43 1,070 openings -0.5% 67.5% 135.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/968?window=24h) | 80 | 30.68% ±104.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/968?window=7d) | 843 | 83.98% ±32.0 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/968) | 1,070 | 88.95% ±28.4 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/968?window=all) | 1,070 | 88.95% ±28.4 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,070 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $96.98 153 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Brass (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-brass-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $90.29 142 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $76.74 121 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-fall-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $66.88 105 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $56.67 89.26 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 14,706 | $50.69 79.84 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $45.83 72.19 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [SCAR-20 \| Magna Carta (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-magna-carta-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $26.66 41.99 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-titanium-bit-field-tested) | 1 in 588 | $11.82 18.61 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× | | [P90 \| Attack Vector (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $5.54 8.73 HUNT\_COIN | 43.0% | 25 | 19.3 | 1.30× | | [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2.91 4.59 HUNT\_COIN | 37.6% | 27 | 32.1 | 0.84× | | [Sticker \| OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) | 45.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.5% | 478 | 481.5 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) | 50.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 538 | 535.0 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=968) [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.27 0.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:01 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.27 0.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:01 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.27 0.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:01 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.27 0.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:01 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $0.27 0.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:01 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) [meoww](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/meoww) $0.27 0.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:01 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.27 0.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:01 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.27 0.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:01 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.27 0.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:01 UTC [Sticker | Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) Hidden $0.27 0.42 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.27 | 87.09% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Ancient 0.0% Mil Spec Grade 0.0% covert 0.0% Classified 0.0% red 0.0% classified 0.0% Restricted 0.2% uncommon 1.8% mil spec 3.0% other 95.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.09 on average: an expected loss of $12.91 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt