--- title: "AGENT JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "AGENT JOKER ($28.30) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 85.95% over 4,857 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/agent-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [AGENT JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/agent-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · AGENT JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/agent-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/agent-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/agent-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/agent-joker?window=all) Price · $28.30 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 85.95% · 4,857 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 533 openings · below min 7 days · 86.89% ±2.39 3,920 openings 30 days · 85.95% ±2.11 4,857 openings since tracking started · 85.95% ±2.11 4,857 openings 83.0% 91.0% 99.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/agent-joker?window=24h) | 533 | 91.31% ±6.80 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/agent-joker?window=7d) | 3,920 | 86.89% ±2.39 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/agent-joker) | 4,857 | 85.95% ±2.11 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/agent-joker?window=all) | 4,857 | 85.95% ±2.11 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=agent-joker) [D Squadron Officer | NZSAS agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/d-squadron-officer-nzsas) [The End](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/The%20End) $27.33 $80.39 2.94x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Dragomir | Sabre agent · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dragomir-sabre) [Penny](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Penny) $27.33 $6.53 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Cmdr. Mae 'Dead Cold' Jamison | SWAT agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/cmdr-mae-dead-cold-jamison-swat) [Scorpion](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Scorpion) $27.33 $16.29 0.60x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Dragomir | Sabre agent · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dragomir-sabre) [Alone](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Alone) $27.33 $6.53 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:14 UTC [Jungle Rebel | Elite Crew agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/jungle-rebel-elite-crew) [Joyful](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Joyful) $27.33 $24.28 0.89x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [Jungle Rebel | Elite Crew agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/jungle-rebel-elite-crew) [Piglet](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Piglet) $27.33 $24.28 0.89x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [Sir Bloody Miami Darryl | The Professionals agent · master](https://gambatracker.com/items/sir-bloody-miami-darryl-the-professionals) [Shy](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Shy) $27.33 $89.77 3.28x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [John 'Van Healen' Kask | SWAT agent · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/john-van-healen-kask-swat) [Zero](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Zero) $27.33 $11.14 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [Markus Delrow | FBI HRT agent · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/markus-delrow-fbi-hrt) [Bunny](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Bunny) $27.33 $9.23 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [Street Soldier | Phoenix agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/street-soldier-phoenix) [Dead](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Dead) $27.33 $14.66 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.95 on average: an expected loss of $14.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt