---
title: "ANCIENT case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "ANCIENT ($21.42) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 77 items with odds, observed 78.23% over 1,350 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ancient
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [ANCIENT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ancient)

# [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · ANCIENT

A case on Key-Drop (OUR SPECIALS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ancient?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ancient?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ancient) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ancient?window=all)

Price · $21.42

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $18.74 from 77 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.23% · 1,350 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 57.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 69 openings · below min

7 days · 78.73% ±7.02 1,133 openings

30 days · 78.23% ±6.44 1,350 openings

since tracking started · 78.23% ±6.44 1,350 openings

32.5% 61.3% 90.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 87.43% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (71.79% – 84.67%, 1,350 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ancient?window=24h) | 69 | 61.36% ±28.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ancient?window=7d) | 1,133 | 78.73% ±7.02 | −2.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ancient) | 1,350 | 78.23% ±6.44 | −2.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/ancient?window=all) | 1,350 | 78.23% ±6.44 | −2.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 77 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,350 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,007 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $653 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $340 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $291 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $247 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $187 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $164 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $150 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $126 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $117 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $115 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $114 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $104 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $103 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $103 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $102 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $101 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $100 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $94.33 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $92.17 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.85× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $90.13 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 435 | $75.88 | 0.9% | 6 | 3.1 | 1.93× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 270 | $70.80 | 1.4% | 1 | 5.0 | 0.20× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $67.62 | 3.4% | 11 | 12.6 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 204 | $61.95 | 1.6% | 10 | 6.6 | 1.51× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 192 | $60.01 | 1.7% | 8 | 7.0 | 1.14× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 192 | $60.01 | 1.7% | 4 | 7.0 | 0.57× |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $59.61 | 3.7% | 8 | 15.8 | 0.51× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $57.61 | 4.3% | 28 | 18.8 | 1.49× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 159 | $54.24 | 1.8% | 12 | 8.5 | 1.41× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $53.21 | 5.7% | 13 | 27.0 | 0.48× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $43.25 | 7.4% | 31 | 43.3 | 0.72× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $42.85 | 4.3% | 17 | 25.2 | 0.67× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $36.98 | 2.5% | 4 | 17.0 | 0.24× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $35.74 | 6.0% | 22 | 42.4 | 0.52× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $35.36 | 2.2% | 13 | 15.5 | 0.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $30.50 | 6.7% | 23 | 55.3 | 0.42× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $27.86 | 4.2% | 19 | 37.8 | 0.50× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $26.26 | 2.0% | 10 | 18.9 | 0.53× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $25.84 | 4.5% | 33 | 44.0 | 0.75× |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $23.66 | 4.8% | 18 | 51.4 | 0.35× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $23.44 | 5.8% | 32 | 62.5 | 0.51× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $21.51 | 3.7% | 17 | 43.6 | 0.39× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $20.91 | 0.8% | 16 | 10.1 | 1.58× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $20.70 | 0.7% | 24 | 8.5 | 2.82× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-well-worn) | 1 in 227 | $19.83 | 0.5% | 17 | 5.9 | 2.86× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 196 | $19.39 | 0.5% | 6 | 6.9 | 0.87× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 167 | $17.52 | 0.6% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $17.33 | 1.1% | 11 | 16.1 | 0.68× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 156 | $16.76 | 0.6% | 6 | 8.6 | 0.69× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-battle-scarred) | 1 in 152 | $15.31 | 0.5% | 9 | 8.9 | 1.01× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $14.88 | 0.5% | 16 | 9.3 | 1.72× |
| [Galil AR \| Vandal (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-vandal-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $12.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $11.32 | 0.6% | 10 | 13.6 | 0.73× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $9.74 | 1.5% | 19 | 39.4 | 0.48× |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $8.56 | 0.7% | 12 | 21.3 | 0.56× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 244 | $8.46 | 0.2% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.72× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-factory-new) | 1 in 345 | $5.74 | 0.1% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-factory-new) | 1 in 526 | $5.00 | 0.1% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $4.53 | 0.3% | 14 | 14.8 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 233 | $3.75 | 0.1% | 1 | 5.8 | 0.17× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $3.47 | 0.3% | 19 | 22.7 | 0.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $3.31 | 0.3% | 21 | 24.4 | 0.86× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 141 | $3.27 | 0.1% | 4 | 9.6 | 0.42× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $2.07 | 0.1% | 12 | 10.5 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $1.97 | 0.1% | 15 | 16.2 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $1.89 | 0.1% | 21 | 17.3 | 1.22× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $1.84 | 0.2% | 15 | 23.9 | 0.63× |
| [Galil AR \| Vandal (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-vandal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $1.78 | 0.2% | 36 | 35.2 | 1.02× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $1.54 | 0.2% | 33 | 31.7 | 1.04× |
| [M4A1-S \| Glitched Paint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $1.31 | 0.2% | 32 | 41.2 | 0.78× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $1.07 | 0.2% | 28 | 42.9 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $1.01 | 0.2% | 40 | 47.1 | 0.85× |
| [Galil AR \| Vandal (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-vandal-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.91 | 0.4% | 76 | 103.0 | 0.74× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.82 | 0.2% | 41 | 46.3 | 0.89× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.79 | 0.2% | 39 | 49.1 | 0.79× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $0.71 | 0.2% | 55 | 56.6 | 0.97× |

Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `keydrop:skins/category/ancient`, 11 Nov, 08:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=ancient)

[M4A4 | Sheet Lightning weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning) [ZevkLast\`iN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/ZevkLast%60iN) $21.42 $0.92 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback) [TK](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/TK) $21.42 $1.39 0.06x 2026-11-11 07:35 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-battle-scarred) [TK](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/TK) $21.42 $1.01 0.05x 2026-11-11 07:34 UTC

[M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-well-worn) Hidden $21.42 $0.79 0.04x 2026-11-11 07:34 UTC

[Galil AR | Vandal (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-vandal-field-tested) Hidden $21.42 $0.91 0.04x 2026-11-11 07:34 UTC

[SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.42 $20.91 0.98x 2026-11-11 07:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback) [TK](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/TK) $21.42 $1.39 0.06x 2026-11-11 07:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-battle-scarred) [TK](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/TK) $21.42 $1.01 0.05x 2026-11-11 07:33 UTC

[M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-glitched-paint-field-tested) Hidden $21.42 $1.54 0.07x 2026-11-11 07:33 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.42 $67.62 3.16x 2026-11-11 07:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:35 UTC | $21.42 | 87.50% | 77 |
| 10 Nov, 14:31 UTC | $21.42 | 87.17% | 77 |
| 9 Nov, 20:17 UTC | $21.42 | 87.26% | 77 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $21.42 | 87.28% | 77 |
| 8 Nov, 17:45 UTC | $21.42 | 87.63% | 77 |
| 8 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $21.42 | 87.52% | 77 |
| 7 Nov, 17:27 UTC | $21.42 | 87.41% | 77 |
| 7 Nov, 11:22 UTC | $21.42 | 87.37% | 77 |
| 6 Nov, 17:08 UTC | $21.42 | 87.41% | 77 |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | $21.42 | 87.40% | 77 |
| 5 Nov, 16:50 UTC | $21.42 | 87.24% | 77 |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | $21.42 | 87.71% | 77 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $21.42 | 87.46% | 77 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $21.42 | 87.23% | 77 |
| 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC | $21.42 | 87.30% | 77 |
| 3 Nov, 15:54 UTC | $21.42 | 86.95% | 77 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $21.42 | 87.44% | 77 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $21.42 | 87.66% | 77 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.2% classified 36.1% mil spec 0.1% pink 3.2% restricted 8.5% Classified 3.3% violet 18.2% blue 2.7% Mythical 2.1% #8847ff 15.0% #4b69ff 7.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt