--- title: "ANDERS JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ANDERS JOKER ($520.60) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.64% over 336 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [ANDERS JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · ANDERS JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders-joker?window=all) Price · $520.60 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.64% · 336 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 68 openings · below min 7 days · 302 openings · below min 30 days · 336 openings · below min since tracking started · 336 openings · below min 37.0% 82.0% 127.0% **Small sample.** 336 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders-joker?window=24h) | 68 | 81.98% ±44.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders-joker?window=7d) | 302 | 88.82% ±22.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders-joker) | 336 | 87.64% ±20.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders-joker?window=all) | 336 | 87.64% ±20.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $541 $5,931 10.96x 2026-11-06 10:23 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $537 $5,931 11.03x 2026-11-06 10:20 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $537 $5,931 11.03x 2026-11-06 10:18 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $537 $5,931 11.03x 2026-11-06 10:17 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $541 $5,931 10.97x 2026-11-05 20:41 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $541 $5,931 10.97x 2026-11-05 20:39 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $519 $5,557 10.71x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $519 $5,557 10.71x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $521 $5,557 10.67x 2026-11-10 13:08 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $521 $5,557 10.67x 2026-11-10 13:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=anders-joker) [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $529 $51.72 0.10x 2026-11-11 06:45 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $529 $1,041 1.97x 2026-11-11 06:44 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $519 $83.03 0.16x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $519 $114 0.22x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) Hidden $519 $294 0.57x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) Hidden $519 $278 0.54x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) Hidden $519 $5,557 10.71x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $519 $50.62 0.10x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $519 $1,033 1.99x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) Hidden $519 $35.74 0.07x 2026-11-11 06:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $5,931 (10.96x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.64 on average: an expected loss of $12.36 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt