---
title: "ANDERS case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "ANDERS ($149.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 79 items with odds, observed 82.93% over 3,093 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:14Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [ANDERS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders)

# [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · ANDERS

A case on Key-Drop (HOLO CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders?window=all)

Price · $149.00

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $130.37 from 79 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 82.93% · 3,093 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.66% ±9.74 502 openings

7 days · 81.97% ±4.45 2,511 openings

30 days · 82.93% ±4.00 3,093 openings

since tracking started · 82.93% ±4.00 3,093 openings

77.0% 88.0% 99.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 87.46% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (78.92% – 86.93%, 3,093 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders?window=24h) | 502 | 88.66% ±9.74 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders?window=7d) | 2,511 | 81.97% ±4.45 | −2.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders) | 3,093 | 82.93% ±4.00 | −2.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/anders?window=all) | 3,093 | 82.93% ±4.00 | −2.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 79 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,093 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,333 | $5,557 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 714 | $1,380 | 1.5% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.92× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 526 | $1,033 | 1.5% | 1 | 5.9 | 0.17× |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $893 | 1.5% | 12 | 6.8 | 1.76× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $735 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $544 | 2.1% | 11 | 15.5 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 476 | $541 | 0.9% | 2 | 6.5 | 0.31× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 156 | $480 | 2.4% | 11 | 19.8 | 0.56× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $464 | 6.0% | 48 | 52.0 | 0.92× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $374 | 6.0% | 60 | 64.3 | 0.93× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · gold · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 67 | $365 | 4.2% | 40 | 46.1 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 270 | $338 | 1.0% | 8 | 11.4 | 0.70× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 62 | $336 | 4.2% | 56 | 50.1 | 1.12× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $294 | 0.3% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 476 | $289 | 0.5% | 2 | 6.5 | 0.31× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $278 | 0.5% | 3 | 6.8 | 0.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $276 | 1.2% | 11 | 17.0 | 0.65× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $264 | 4.2% | 54 | 63.7 | 0.85× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $258 | 4.2% | 59 | 65.3 | 0.90× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $254 | 4.2% | 51 | 66.2 | 0.77× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $223 | 1.4% | 7 | 25.7 | 0.27× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $220 | 1.4% | 14 | 26.3 | 0.53× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 101 | $220 | 1.7% | 20 | 30.6 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $214 | 2.1% | 26 | 38.7 | 0.67× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $193 | 1.4% | 15 | 29.4 | 0.51× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 149 | $190 | 1.0% | 14 | 20.7 | 0.68× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 93 | $182 | 1.5% | 20 | 33.1 | 0.60× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $179 | 2.1% | 35 | 47.3 | 0.74× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 68 | $169 | 1.9% | 38 | 45.2 | 0.84× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $164 | 2.7% | 49 | 65.9 | 0.74× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $156 | 0.4% | 10 | 9.9 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $154 | 0.9% | 20 | 24.7 | 0.81× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 119 | $154 | 1.0% | 15 | 26.0 | 0.58× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 96 | $153 | 1.2% | 41 | 32.2 | 1.27× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $150 | 1.3% | 18 | 33.7 | 0.53× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $148 | 1.4% | 35 | 39.3 | 0.89× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 143 | $146 | 0.8% | 16 | 21.7 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $145 | 1.0% | 27 | 27.2 | 0.99× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $144 | 0.8% | 28 | 22.3 | 1.26× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $143 | 2.0% | 49 | 55.4 | 0.89× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 141 | $142 | 0.8% | 17 | 22.0 | 0.77× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 133 | $136 | 0.8% | 21 | 23.2 | 0.91× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $133 | 0.8% | 15 | 24.7 | 0.61× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 192 | $127 | 0.5% | 19 | 16.1 | 1.18× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $127 | 0.8% | 20 | 25.7 | 0.78× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $121 | 0.8% | 17 | 25.4 | 0.67× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $114 | 3.1% | 77 | 109.5 | 0.70× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $101 | 2.9% | 123 | 114.8 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 161 | $83.03 | 0.4% | 19 | 19.2 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 103 | $81.04 | 0.6% | 21 | 30.0 | 0.70× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $79.26 | 1.1% | 50 | 57.2 | 0.87× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $75.88 | 0.2% | 10 | 9.9 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $74.49 | 0.9% | 35 | 49.5 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $74.47 | 0.9% | 41 | 49.5 | 0.83× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 88 | $72.60 | 0.6% | 23 | 35.3 | 0.65× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 86 | $71.39 | 0.6% | 32 | 35.9 | 0.89× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $65.58 | 1.2% | 43 | 74.9 | 0.57× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-factory-new) | 1 in 588 | $58.98 | 0.1% | 6 | 5.3 | 1.14× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $54.81 | 0.5% | 28 | 34.3 | 0.82× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 87 | $53.32 | 0.5% | 28 | 35.6 | 0.79× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $50.62 | 0.9% | 47 | 72.7 | 0.65× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $46.86 | 0.9% | 57 | 81.0 | 0.70× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 66 | $43.82 | 0.5% | 34 | 46.7 | 0.73× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $36.62 | 0.2% | 23 | 26.9 | 0.85× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 109 | $35.74 | 0.3% | 26 | 28.5 | 0.91× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $24.06 | 0.3% | 36 | 44.5 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $23.87 | 0.3% | 32 | 44.8 | 0.71× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $23.44 | 0.3% | 41 | 51.3 | 0.80× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 164 | $23.33 | 0.1% | 4 | 18.9 | 0.21× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $22.91 | 0.3% | 44 | 52.9 | 0.83× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $22.71 | 0.3% | 34 | 53.5 | 0.64× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $21.41 | 0.3% | 51 | 56.9 | 0.90× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $19.78 | 0.3% | 58 | 63.7 | 0.91× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $19.71 | 0.3% | 58 | 64.0 | 0.91× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $19.44 | 0.3% | 49 | 60.0 | 0.82× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $17.89 | 0.3% | 54 | 67.1 | 0.80× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $10.77 | 0.1% | 61 | 55.4 | 1.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $6.76 | 0.2% | 90 | 106.1 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $5.81 | 0.2% | 112 | 130.2 | 0.86× |

Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `keydrop:skins/category/anders`, 11 Nov, 08:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $149 $1,391 9.34x 2026-11-09 15:40 UTC

[★ Karambit | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $149 $1,389 9.32x 2026-11-10 11:34 UTC

[★ Karambit | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $149 $1,380 9.26x 2026-11-11 08:40 UTC

[★ Karambit | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $149 $1,380 9.26x 2026-11-11 09:14 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $149 $1,041 6.98x 2026-11-09 14:36 UTC

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) [lxya](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/lxya) $149 $917 6.15x 2026-11-03 13:43 UTC

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) [lxya](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/lxya) $149 $917 6.15x 2026-11-03 13:43 UTC

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $149 $914 6.13x 2026-11-03 19:49 UTC

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $149 $897 6.02x 2026-11-04 20:50 UTC

[★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $149 $896 6.01x 2026-11-08 01:44 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=anders)

[★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $149 $336 2.25x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $149 $114 0.77x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[AWP | Wildfire weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $149 $61.54 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $149 $333 2.24x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-battle-scarred) Hidden $149 $167 1.12x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) Hidden $149 $132 0.88x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $149 $464 3.12x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $149 $464 3.12x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) Hidden $149 $150 1.01x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $149 $114 0.77x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:35 UTC | $149 | 87.50% | 79 |
| 10 Nov, 14:31 UTC | $149 | 87.34% | 79 |
| 9 Nov, 20:17 UTC | $149 | 87.40% | 79 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $149 | 87.60% | 79 |
| 8 Nov, 17:45 UTC | $149 | 87.49% | 79 |
| 8 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $149 | 87.59% | 79 |
| 7 Nov, 17:27 UTC | $149 | 87.27% | 79 |
| 7 Nov, 11:22 UTC | $149 | 87.77% | 79 |
| 6 Nov, 17:08 UTC | $149 | 87.63% | 79 |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | $149 | 87.50% | 79 |
| 5 Nov, 16:50 UTC | $149 | 87.23% | 79 |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | $149 | 87.57% | 79 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $149 | 87.63% | 79 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $149 | 87.52% | 79 |
| 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC | $149 | 87.33% | 79 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $149 | 87.38% | 79 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $149 | 87.29% | 79 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 49.8% gold 7.6% classified 12.4% extraordinary 4.4% red 4.8% epic 0.9% pink 18.0% #d32ee6 1.4% Legendary 0.6% best hit $1,391 (9.34x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt