--- title: "APEX JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "APEX JOKER ($31.70) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.50% over 4,339 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/apex-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T17:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [APEX JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/apex-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · APEX JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/apex-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/apex-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/apex-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/apex-joker?window=all) Price · $31.70 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.50% · 4,339 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 433 openings · below min 7 days · 89.16% ±8.68 3,623 openings 30 days · 94.50% ±8.26 4,339 openings since tracking started · 94.50% ±8.26 4,339 openings 71.5% 100.5% 129.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/apex-joker?window=24h) | 433 | 100.39% ±28.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/apex-joker?window=7d) | 3,623 | 89.16% ±8.68 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/apex-joker) | 4,339 | 94.50% ±8.26 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/apex-joker?window=all) | 4,339 | 94.50% ±8.26 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=apex-joker) [Sticker | Killjoy sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-killjoy) [kacper hehe. \[\*\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kacper%20hehe.%20%5B*%5D-76561198197837162) $30.24 $2.96 0.10x 2026-11-11 17:11 UTC [Sticker | Killjoy sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-killjoy) [kacper hehe. \[\*\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/kacper%20hehe.%20%5B*%5D-76561198197837162) $29.59 $2.70 0.09x 2026-11-11 17:10 UTC [Sticker | Health sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-health) Hidden $29.59 $11.32 0.38x 2026-11-11 17:10 UTC [Sticker | Flex sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flex) Hidden $29.59 $1.16 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:10 UTC [Sticker | Bomb Doge sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bomb-doge) [Anton](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Anton) $30.24 $1.90 0.06x 2026-11-11 15:15 UTC [Sticker | Bomb Doge sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bomb-doge) [Anton](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Anton) $29.63 $1.77 0.06x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Sticker | Crimson Web Poison Frog sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crimson-web-poison-frog) Hidden $29.63 $24.66 0.83x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Sticker | Tornado Chaos sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tornado-chaos) Hidden $29.63 $6.46 0.22x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Sticker | Rainbow Route sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rainbow-route) Hidden $29.63 $0.66 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:14 UTC [Sticker | Lotus sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lotus) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $30.24 $6.63 0.22x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.50 on average: an expected loss of $5.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt