--- title: "ARTEMIS case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "ARTEMIS ($10.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 20 items with odds, observed 83.45% over 3,456 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/artemis rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [ARTEMIS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/artemis) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · ARTEMIS A case on Key-Drop (OUR SPECIALS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/artemis?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/artemis?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/artemis) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/artemis?window=all) Price · $10.00 Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $8.75 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.45% · 3,456 openings, odds method Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 90.93% ±19.45 402 openings 7 days · 85.26% ±7.05 3,096 openings 30 days · 83.45% ±6.68 3,456 openings since tracking started · 83.45% ±6.68 3,456 openings 71.0% 91.0% 111.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/artemis?window=24h) | 402 | 90.93% ±19.5 | +0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/artemis?window=7d) | 3,096 | 85.26% ±7.05 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/artemis) | 3,456 | 83.45% ±6.68 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/artemis?window=all) | 3,456 | 83.45% ±6.68 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,456 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $428 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 5,000 | $423 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $104 | 2.4% | 2 | 6.9 | 0.29× | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $100 | 1.7% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.35× | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $100 | 1.7% | 3 | 5.2 | 0.58× | | [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 75 | $87.50 | 13.3% | 54 | 45.8 | 1.18× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $64.31 | 6.4% | 26 | 30.1 | 0.86× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $59.97 | 6.9% | 15 | 34.6 | 0.43× | | [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $54.95 | 13.3% | 79 | 73.0 | 1.08× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $54.81 | 4.1% | 15 | 22.4 | 0.67× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 146 | $53.32 | 4.2% | 13 | 23.6 | 0.55× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 99 | $43.82 | 5.1% | 13 | 34.9 | 0.37× | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $23.67 | 4.0% | 41 | 51.5 | 0.80× | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $20.76 | 4.6% | 40 | 67.0 | 0.60× | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $20.63 | 4.6% | 47 | 67.8 | 0.69× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $20.29 | 4.0% | 47 | 59.9 | 0.78× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $18.51 | 4.4% | 45 | 72.1 | 0.62× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $16.90 | 4.8% | 60 | 86.4 | 0.69× | | [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 11.7% | $7.26 | 9.7% | 378 | 402.9 | 0.94× | | [SCAR-20 \| Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) | 68.4% | $0.38 | 3.0% | 2,409 | 2365.3 | 1.02× | Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `keydrop:skins/category/artemis`, 11 Nov, 08:44 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=artemis) [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) [做牛做马](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%E5%81%9A%E7%89%9B%E5%81%9A%E9%A9%AC) $10.00 $0.38 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) [CARLOS vorcaro](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CARLOS%20vorcaro) $10.00 $0.38 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) [CARLOS vorcaro](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CARLOS%20vorcaro) $10.00 $0.39 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $0.39 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $0.39 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $0.39 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $0.39 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $0.39 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:30 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) [elSimione](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/elSimione) $10.00 $0.38 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-trail-blazer-field-tested) [Luffy](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Luffy) $10.00 $0.38 0.04x 2026-11-11 11:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 20:35 UTC | $10.00 | 87.50% | 20 | | 10 Nov, 14:31 UTC | $10.00 | 87.43% | 20 | | 9 Nov, 20:17 UTC | $10.00 | 87.82% | 20 | | 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $10.00 | 87.96% | 20 | | 8 Nov, 17:45 UTC | $10.00 | 87.13% | 20 | | 8 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $10.00 | 87.30% | 20 | | 7 Nov, 17:27 UTC | $10.00 | 88.00% | 20 | | 7 Nov, 11:22 UTC | $10.00 | 87.64% | 20 | | 6 Nov, 17:08 UTC | $10.00 | 87.67% | 20 | | 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | $10.00 | 87.47% | 20 | | 5 Nov, 16:50 UTC | $10.00 | 87.84% | 20 | | 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | $10.00 | 87.50% | 20 | | 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $10.00 | 87.86% | 20 | | 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $10.00 | 87.82% | 20 | | 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC | $10.00 | 87.62% | 20 | | 3 Nov, 15:54 UTC | $10.00 | 87.60% | 20 | | 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $10.00 | 87.64% | 20 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.00 | 87.78% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 4.5% classified 8.0% red 3.4% pink 3.9% restricted 11.7% milspec 68.4% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt