--- title: "ASIIMOV JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ASIIMOV JOKER ($234.84) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.63% over 276 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/asiimov-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T22:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [ASIIMOV JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/asiimov-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · ASIIMOV JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/asiimov-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/asiimov-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/asiimov-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/asiimov-joker?window=all) Price · $234.84 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.63% · 276 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 59 openings · below min 7 days · 255 openings · below min 30 days · 276 openings · below min since tracking started · 276 openings · below min 19.5% 71.0% 122.5% **Small sample.** 276 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/asiimov-joker?window=24h) | 59 | 43.57% ±23.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/asiimov-joker?window=7d) | 255 | 87.93% ±22.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/asiimov-joker) | 276 | 98.63% ±23.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/asiimov-joker?window=all) | 276 | 98.63% ±23.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [100B](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/100B) $235 $1,592 6.78x 2026-11-08 22:04 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [100B](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/100B) $235 $1,592 6.78x 2026-11-08 22:03 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [100B](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/100B) $235 $1,592 6.78x 2026-11-08 22:03 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [100B](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/100B) $235 $1,592 6.78x 2026-11-08 22:02 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [AxiaTis](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/AxiaTis) $235 $1,592 6.78x 2026-11-07 17:16 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [AxiaTis](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/AxiaTis) $235 $1,592 6.78x 2026-11-07 17:15 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [AxiaTis](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/AxiaTis) $235 $1,592 6.78x 2026-11-07 17:14 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [Train9](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Train9) $235 $1,592 6.78x 2026-11-07 03:12 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [redEPSTEIN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/redEPSTEIN) $235 $1,592 6.78x 2026-11-04 22:12 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) Hidden $235 $1,592 6.78x 2026-11-04 22:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=asiimov-joker) [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $225 $0.59 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:12 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) Hidden $216 $1,426 6.61x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $216 $0.62 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC [PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-field-tested) [dzs4z0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/dzs4z0n) $225 $1.46 0.01x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) [dzs4z0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/dzs4z0n) $225 $209 0.93x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-field-tested) [dzs4z0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/dzs4z0n) $225 $0.11 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) [dzs4z0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/dzs4z0n) $225 $209 0.93x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) [dzs4z0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/dzs4z0n) $225 $209 0.93x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) [dzs4z0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/dzs4z0n) $225 $6.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) [dzs4z0n](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/dzs4z0n) $225 $159 0.71x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,592 (6.78x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.63 on average: an expected loss of $1.37 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt