--- title: "AZARKHAN JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "AZARKHAN JOKER ($37.71) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.42% over 241 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/azarkhan-joker rendered: 2026-11-12T11:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [AZARKHAN JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/azarkhan-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · AZARKHAN JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/azarkhan-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/azarkhan-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/azarkhan-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/azarkhan-joker?window=all) Price · $37.71 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 78.42% · 241 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 1 openings · below min 7 days · 193 openings · below min 30 days · 241 openings · below min since tracking started · 241 openings · below min 61.5% 82.8% 104.0% **Small sample.** 241 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/azarkhan-joker?window=24h) | 1 | 82.89% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/azarkhan-joker?window=7d) | 193 | 84.21% ±19.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/azarkhan-joker) | 241 | 78.42% ±16.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/azarkhan-joker?window=all) | 241 | 78.42% ±16.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=azarkhan-joker) [AK-47 | The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) [BLACK\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/BLACK*-76561198731867454) $36.23 $30.03 0.83x 2026-11-12 09:44 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) [Wipzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Wipzz) $36.23 $52.28 1.44x 2026-11-11 09:52 UTC [AK-47 | The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) [꧁ঔৣ☬✞SilenTShoT✞☬](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%EA%A7%81%E0%A6%94%E0%A7%A3%E2%98%AC%E2%9C%9ESilenTShoT%E2%9C%9E%E2%98%AC) $36.23 $30.03 0.83x 2026-11-11 09:52 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) [Wipzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Wipzz) $37.14 $53.51 1.44x 2026-11-11 09:52 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-analog-input-field-tested) Hidden $37.14 $0.88 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) Hidden $37.14 $8.43 0.23x 2026-11-11 09:52 UTC [AK-47 | The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) [꧁ঔৣ☬✞SilenTShoT✞☬](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%EA%A7%81%E0%A6%94%E0%A7%A3%E2%98%AC%E2%9C%9ESilenTShoT%E2%9C%9E%E2%98%AC) $37.14 $31.60 0.85x 2026-11-11 09:52 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [꧁ঔৣ☬✞SilenTShoT✞☬](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%EA%A7%81%E0%A6%94%E0%A7%A3%E2%98%AC%E2%9C%9ESilenTShoT%E2%9C%9E%E2%98%AC) $36.23 $158 4.35x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.14 $0.63 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-analog-input-field-tested) Hidden $37.14 $0.88 0.02x 2026-11-11 09:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.42 on average: an expected loss of $21.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt