--- title: "BLOODLORE JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "BLOODLORE JOKER ($1,496.82) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.04% over 2,921 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodlore-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T20:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [BLOODLORE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodlore-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · BLOODLORE JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodlore-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodlore-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodlore-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodlore-joker?window=all) Price · $1,496.82 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.04% · 2,921 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 96.34% ±9.34 1,553 openings 30 days · 93.04% ±6.63 2,921 openings since tracking started · 93.04% ±6.63 2,921 openings 86.0% 96.2% 106.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodlore-joker?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodlore-joker?window=7d) | 1,553 | 96.34% ±9.34 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodlore-joker) | 2,921 | 93.04% ±6.63 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodlore-joker?window=all) | 2,921 | 93.04% ±6.63 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [SIRPANZA](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SIRPANZA) $1,506 $9,986 6.63x 2026-11-08 16:32 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [SIRPANZA](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/SIRPANZA) $1,506 $9,986 6.63x 2026-11-08 16:31 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,506 $9,986 6.63x 2026-11-08 13:27 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [not awp abuser](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/not%20awp%20abuser) $1,506 $9,986 6.63x 2026-11-08 13:26 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,506 $9,986 6.63x 2026-11-07 04:29 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,506 $9,986 6.63x 2026-11-07 04:29 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,506 $9,986 6.63x 2026-11-07 04:28 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,506 $9,986 6.63x 2026-11-07 04:27 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,506 $9,986 6.63x 2026-11-07 04:07 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,506 $9,986 6.63x 2026-11-07 04:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=bloodlore-joker) [SG 553 | Tornado (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tornado-factory-new) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,464 $128 0.09x 2026-11-10 05:15 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,464 $594 0.41x 2026-11-10 05:15 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,464 $289 0.20x 2026-11-10 05:15 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,464 $49.30 0.03x 2026-11-10 05:14 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $1,464 $1,680 1.15x 2026-11-10 05:14 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,464 $289 0.20x 2026-11-10 05:14 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,464 $289 0.20x 2026-11-10 05:14 UTC [P90 | Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,464 $110 0.08x 2026-11-10 05:14 UTC [SG 553 | Tornado (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tornado-factory-new) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,464 $128 0.09x 2026-11-10 05:14 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [(kick)use code MATANBRITO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%28kick%29use%20code%20MATANBRITO) $1,464 $594 0.41x 2026-11-10 05:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $9,986 (6.63x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.04 on average: an expected loss of $6.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt