--- title: "BORA case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "BORA ($7.00) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 80.92% over 844 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bora rendered: 2026-11-11T21:16Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [BORA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bora) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · BORA A case on Key-Drop, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bora?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bora?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bora) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bora?window=all) Price · $7.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 80.92% · 844 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 165 openings · below min 7 days · 633 openings · below min 30 days · 844 openings · below min since tracking started · 844 openings · below min 71.5% 84.7% 98.0% **Small sample.** 844 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bora?window=24h) | 165 | 84.53% ±12.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bora?window=7d) | 633 | 81.66% ±5.62 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bora) | 844 | 80.92% ±4.82 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bora?window=all) | 844 | 80.92% ±4.82 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=bora) [AWP | Duality weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality) [Miguel\_Z1K4](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Miguel_Z1K4) $7.00 $4.50 0.64x 2026-11-11 21:10 UTC [P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-factory-new) Hidden $7.00 $2.14 0.31x 2026-11-11 21:08 UTC [AWP | Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) [Miguel\_Z1K4](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Miguel_Z1K4) $7.00 $3.69 0.53x 2026-11-11 21:08 UTC [AWP | Duality weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality) [steelega](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/steelega) $7.00 $4.50 0.64x 2026-11-11 21:07 UTC [MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-co-processor-factory-new) Hidden $7.00 $2.13 0.30x 2026-11-11 21:06 UTC [AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) [steelega](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/steelega) $7.00 $6.09 0.87x 2026-11-11 21:06 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled) [Miguel\_Z1K4](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Miguel_Z1K4) $7.00 $5.95 0.85x 2026-11-11 20:54 UTC [Glock-18 | Weasel (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-well-worn) Hidden $7.00 $1.33 0.19x 2026-11-11 20:53 UTC [P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-factory-new) Hidden $7.00 $2.14 0.31x 2026-11-11 20:53 UTC [USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.00 $3.80 0.54x 2026-11-11 20:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.92 on average: an expected loss of $19.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt