--- title: "CALYPSO JOKER case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops" description: "CALYPSO JOKER ($222.48) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 110.33% over 204 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/calypso-joker rendered: 2026-11-11T19:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [CALYPSO JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/calypso-joker) # [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · CALYPSO JOKER A case on Key-Drop, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/calypso-joker?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/calypso-joker?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/calypso-joker) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/calypso-joker?window=all) Price · $222.48 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 110.33% · 204 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 102 openings · below min 7 days · 164 openings · below min 30 days · 204 openings · below min since tracking started · 204 openings · below min 78.5% 121.0% 163.5% **Small sample.** 204 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/calypso-joker?window=24h) | 102 | 123.58% ±39.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/calypso-joker?window=7d) | 164 | 106.38% ±27.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/calypso-joker) | 204 | 110.33% ±24.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/calypso-joker?window=all) | 204 | 110.33% ±24.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Key-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $229 $1,556 6.80x 2026-11-11 15:09 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $229 $1,556 6.80x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $229 $1,556 6.80x 2026-11-11 15:05 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $229 $1,556 6.80x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $229 $1,556 6.80x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $229 $1,556 6.80x 2026-11-11 11:31 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) Hidden $229 $1,556 6.80x 2026-11-11 11:31 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $228 $1,549 6.79x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $228 $1,549 6.79x 2026-11-11 15:04 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $228 $1,549 6.79x 2026-11-10 22:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=calypso-joker) [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-emerald) [G1G0 onte tap](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/G1G0%20onte%20tap) $228 $239 1.05x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $228 $422 1.85x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC [★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $228 $356 1.56x 2026-11-11 16:36 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) Hidden $229 $136 0.59x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $229 $430 1.88x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC [★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $229 $349 1.52x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC [★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $229 $349 1.52x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC [AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-field-tested) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $228 $26.92 0.12x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC [AWP | Arsenic Spill (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-arsenic-spill-field-tested) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $228 $0.38 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:01 UTC [AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-field-tested) [0nz](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/0nz) $229 $26.98 0.12x 2026-11-11 15:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,556 (6.80x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 110.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $110.33 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt