---
title: "COBRA case on Key-Drop: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "COBRA ($78.93) on Key-Drop, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.50% from 84 items with odds, observed 88.24% over 9,443 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cobra
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) / [COBRA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cobra)

# [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) · COBRA

A case on Key-Drop (BESTSELLERS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cobra?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cobra?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cobra) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cobra?window=all)

Price · $78.93

Advertised RTP · 87.50% · EV $69.06 from 84 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.24% · 9,443 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 59.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.41% ±6.37 1,189 openings

7 days · 87.86% ±2.53 7,666 openings

30 days · 88.24% ±2.29 9,443 openings

since tracking started · 88.24% ±2.29 9,443 openings

81.5% 88.5% 95.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cobra?window=24h) | 1,189 | 88.41% ±6.37 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cobra?window=7d) | 7,666 | 87.86% ±2.53 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cobra) | 9,443 | 88.24% ±2.29 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/cobra?window=all) | 9,443 | 88.24% ±2.29 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 84 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,460 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,821 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,945 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,685 | 0.5% | 6 | 1.9 | 3.17× |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,390 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $1,109 | 0.6% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,007 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 1,667 | $715 | 0.6% | 8 | 5.7 | 1.41× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,667 | $687 | 0.6% | 6 | 5.7 | 1.06× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $667 | 0.6% | 7 | 5.7 | 1.23× |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $609 | 0.6% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $517 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $463 | 0.2% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.70× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $441 | 0.6% | 12 | 8.5 | 1.41× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $411 | 0.2% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $405 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 909 | $365 | 0.6% | 9 | 10.4 | 0.86× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $314 | 0.6% | 27 | 12.3 | 2.20× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $258 | 11.7% | 268 | 295.2 | 0.91× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 123 | $214 | 2.5% | 47 | 76.6 | 0.61× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $207 | 5.3% | 107 | 167.4 | 0.64× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 417 | $197 | 0.7% | 22 | 22.7 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 263 | $190 | 1.0% | 31 | 35.9 | 0.86× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 122 | $172 | 2.0% | 47 | 77.6 | 0.61× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 313 | $170 | 0.8% | 24 | 30.3 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 227 | $164 | 1.0% | 25 | 41.6 | 0.60× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $154 | 1.7% | 70 | 70.0 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 256 | $154 | 0.9% | 33 | 36.9 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $153 | 1.3% | 36 | 55.8 | 0.64× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $147 | 3.7% | 166 | 165.5 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 227 | $146 | 0.9% | 44 | 41.6 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 152 | $145 | 1.4% | 51 | 62.4 | 0.82× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 222 | $144 | 0.9% | 30 | 42.6 | 0.70× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 192 | $133 | 1.0% | 32 | 49.2 | 0.65× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $129 | 1.8% | 87 | 88.9 | 0.98× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 303 | $127 | 0.6% | 37 | 31.2 | 1.19× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $123 | 2.1% | 78 | 109.7 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 161 | $122 | 1.1% | 50 | 58.7 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 119 | $119 | 1.5% | 112 | 79.5 | 1.41× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $114 | 3.3% | 109 | 190.1 | 0.57× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $114 | 5.6% | 234 | 320.7 | 0.73× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 110 | $89.67 | 1.2% | 84 | 86.1 | 0.98× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $89.30 | 10.5% | 821 | 770.0 | 1.07× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $83.05 | 4.6% | 229 | 362.3 | 0.63× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $83.03 | 1.8% | 80 | 139.1 | 0.58× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $81.04 | 2.7% | 134 | 218.5 | 0.61× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 110 | $72.60 | 1.0% | 52 | 86.1 | 0.60× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $71.39 | 0.8% | 56 | 75.7 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $65.37 | 0.6% | 33 | 56.8 | 0.58× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $64.58 | 1.5% | 113 | 155.1 | 0.73× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $64.31 | 0.1% | 9 | 13.2 | 0.68× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $60.01 | 2.7% | 263 | 288.5 | 0.91× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-factory-new) | 1 in 909 | $54.87 | 0.1% | 10 | 10.4 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 122 | $54.81 | 0.7% | 73 | 77.6 | 0.94× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $54.19 | 0.5% | 38 | 56.8 | 0.67× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 123 | $53.97 | 0.6% | 59 | 76.6 | 0.77× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 116 | $53.32 | 0.7% | 64 | 81.4 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $50.22 | 0.7% | 65 | 86.1 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $48.53 | 0.7% | 70 | 90.8 | 0.77× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 128 | $46.10 | 0.5% | 53 | 73.8 | 0.72× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $43.82 | 0.7% | 75 | 110.7 | 0.68× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $42.85 | 0.5% | 63 | 83.2 | 0.76× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 105 | $40.70 | 0.6% | 56 | 89.9 | 0.62× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-factory-new) | 1 in 323 | $37.98 | 0.2% | 19 | 29.3 | 0.65× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $33.76 | 0.1% | 15 | 28.4 | 0.53× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) | 1 in 217 | $27.05 | 0.2% | 24 | 43.5 | 0.55× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $19.76 | 0.3% | 60 | 84.2 | 0.71× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $13.55 | 0.3% | 102 | 152.3 | 0.67× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $13.20 | 0.2% | 73 | 100.3 | 0.73× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $13.19 | 0.3% | 98 | 127.7 | 0.77× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $12.59 | 0.3% | 140 | 171.2 | 0.82× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $12.38 | 0.3% | 125 | 176.0 | 0.71× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $12.18 | 0.3% | 139 | 180.7 | 0.77× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $11.29 | 0.4% | 145 | 205.3 | 0.71× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $10.99 | 0.4% | 154 | 214.7 | 0.72× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $10.74 | 0.4% | 155 | 222.3 | 0.70× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $10.60 | 0.3% | 142 | 193.9 | 0.73× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $9.67 | 0.3% | 172 | 209.1 | 0.82× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $9.62 | 0.3% | 151 | 211.0 | 0.72× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $8.77 | 0.3% | 179 | 244.1 | 0.73× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $7.50 | 0.4% | 249 | 336.8 | 0.74× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $7.50 | 0.4% | 248 | 336.8 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $7.02 | 0.3% | 215 | 274.3 | 0.78× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $6.84 | 0.3% | 204 | 286.6 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $6.25 | 0.3% | 253 | 318.8 | 0.79× |

Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `keydrop:skins/category/cobra`, 11 Nov, 08:44 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $78.93 $2,879 36.47x 2026-11-02 22:17 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [senseiKeS-\_\`](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/senseiKeS-_%60) $78.93 $1,705 21.60x 2026-11-02 22:55 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [senseiKeS-\_\`](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/senseiKeS-_%60) $78.93 $1,705 21.60x 2026-11-02 22:54 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $78.93 $1,696 21.48x 2026-11-06 01:39 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $78.93 $1,691 21.43x 2026-11-03 20:20 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [El chapo](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/El%20chapo) $78.93 $1,685 21.35x 2026-11-11 01:53 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [El chapo](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/El%20chapo) $78.93 $1,685 21.35x 2026-11-11 01:52 UTC

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $78.93 $1,097 13.90x 2026-11-04 18:25 UTC

[★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $78.93 $1,097 13.90x 2026-11-04 12:28 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $78.93 $775 9.82x 2026-11-05 08:39 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=keydrop&case=cobra)

[AK-47 | The Outsiders weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders) [ZevkLast\`iN](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/ZevkLast%60iN) $78.93 $7.85 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC

[AK-47 | Asiimov weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov) [CODE TOROCHO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CODE%20TOROCHO) $78.93 $53.42 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) Hidden $78.93 $19.43 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[AK-47 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) [CODE TOROCHO](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/CODE%20TOROCHO) $78.93 $52.77 0.67x 2026-11-11 13:08 UTC

[AK-47 | Asiimov weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $78.93 $53.42 0.68x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $78.93 $89.30 1.13x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $78.93 $54.96 0.70x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Fuel Injector weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $78.93 $127 1.61x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[AK-47 | The Outsiders weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $78.93 $7.85 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:47 UTC

[AK-47 | The Outsiders weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders) [Death13](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Death13) $78.93 $7.85 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 20:35 UTC | $78.93 | 87.50% | 84 |
| 10 Nov, 14:31 UTC | $78.93 | 87.68% | 84 |
| 9 Nov, 20:17 UTC | $78.93 | 87.85% | 84 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $78.93 | 87.67% | 84 |
| 8 Nov, 17:45 UTC | $78.93 | 87.60% | 84 |
| 8 Nov, 11:41 UTC | $78.93 | 87.45% | 84 |
| 7 Nov, 17:27 UTC | $78.93 | 87.51% | 84 |
| 7 Nov, 11:22 UTC | $78.93 | 87.67% | 84 |
| 6 Nov, 17:08 UTC | $78.93 | 87.40% | 84 |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | $78.93 | 87.47% | 84 |
| 5 Nov, 16:50 UTC | $78.93 | 87.59% | 84 |
| 5 Nov, 10:46 UTC | $78.93 | 87.83% | 84 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $78.93 | 87.77% | 84 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $78.93 | 87.80% | 84 |
| 3 Nov, 16:37 UTC | $78.93 | 87.70% | 84 |
| 3 Nov, 09:08 UTC | $78.93 | 87.28% | 84 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $78.93 | 87.57% | 84 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.1% restricted 1.7% covert 39.1% classified 17.7% red 5.6% gold 2.7% Ancient 1.5% violet 12.3% rare 3.0% Covert 0.8% pink 9.0% Legendary 1.1% #8847ff 2.6% #d32ce6 3.0% best hit $2,879 (36.47x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.50 on average: an expected loss of $12.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt